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699 S Vista
B Composite 74.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

699 S Vista · Lakeshore Gardens-Hidden Acres, TX 78383
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 47 Days on market
Built 2013 0.99 ac lot $95/sqft · 19% below area Est $142k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Stainless steel sink
  • Laundry room

Tags

NEW FLOORINGGARDEN TUBLAUNDRY ROOMSTAINLESS STEEL SINKSTORAGE SHEDBACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; On-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Water available (private); Sewer available (private sewer); Septic available; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding exterior; Interior lot; Asphalt road access
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Split bedrooms; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Lakeshore Gardens-Hidden Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • George West ISD (rural): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #95 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Live Oak County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Live Oak County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.23%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,308
List price
$115,000
Delta
-19.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
193 Ranger Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,307 (+8%) 21mo $95,000 $73 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$9,073
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$43,481
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78383

Home prices YoY
-12.8%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,441 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $617/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$436

Break-even live

Break-even rent $889
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $501 -5% $468 +0% $436 +5% $403 +10% $370
Rent -10% $322 -5% $379 +0% $436 +5% $492 +10% $549
Rate -1.0pp $493 -0.5pp $465 base $436 +0.5pp $406 +1.0pp $375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $115,000 Active 496-char remark
  17. 2021-12-29
    soldstatus
  18. 2020-09-02
    historical 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

  19. 2020-07-24
    soldstatus Closed 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

  20. 2020-07-02
    status Pending 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

  21. 2020-06-30
    historical Active Under Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

  22. 2020-05-01
    price $5,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

  23. 2019-09-06
    listed $6,500 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    LOT FOR SALE CLOSE TO LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI. OWNER IS SELLING 4 LOTS NEXT TO EACH OTHER. NO WATER OR SEPTIC. OTHER LOTS ARE LOT 12,14.15 LISTED SEPARATELY.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$617 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$1,487/yr (+$124/mo · 241.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,286
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$617
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,383
− Management
−$1,383
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$3,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$850
After-tax cash flow
$4,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
George West ISD
NCES district ID
4820550
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$45,721
Composite
48.17/100
National rank
#2175
State rank
#95 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lakeshore Gardens-Hidden Acres

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,306

Population outlook (Live Oak County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,886 people
By 2030
14,793 · +6.5%
By 2040
16,633 · +19.8%
By 2050
18,511 · +33.3%
By 2075
23,859 · +71.8%
By 2100
26,396 · +90.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Live Oak

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.6) · D 14.9% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -49.0pp · 2024: -69.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.6 2020: R+66.9 2016: R+63.5 2012: R+54.5 2008: R+49.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.06%
Current HPI
178.3727
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1669.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $115,000 CBMLS
  • 2021-12-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-09-02 Delisted CBMLS
  • 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 2020-07-02 Pending CBMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Contingent CBMLS
  • 2020-05-01 Price Changed $5,000 CBMLS
  • 2019-09-06 Listed $6,500 CBMLS

Property tax history

+43.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $617 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…