16 S Harrison St · Beverly Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Charming & Energy-Efficient Home in Beverly Hills! * * Welcome to 16 S. Harrison St—located in a fast-growing area this 2-bedroom home with a bonus room perfect for a home office, den, or media space. This home has a 2019 metal roof, a stylishly remodeled bathroom, and an indoor laundry room for added convenience. Home needs some TLC and reflects in asking price with this Motivated Seller! Enjoy outdoor living with a screened front porch, rear patio, and privacy-fenced backyard—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A spacious 20x10 storage shed provides extra room for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Energy-conscious buyers will love the transferrable leased sol
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- Metal roof
- Remodeled bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total living area and building area reported in public records; Property zoned MDR (medium density residential)
- Financial info: Homestead exempt; No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: No association (HOA) indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or on-site parking (details not specified)
- Security: Hurricane shutters
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Solar energy present
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.21-acre lot (approx. 75 x 120)
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Hurricane shutters; Exterior storage; Chain link and vinyl fencing; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Bonus room; Inside utility/storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.8% in Beverly Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#666 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 401 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $140k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.90%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,888
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 S Harrison St | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-4%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $133 | 91 |
| 8 N Fillmore St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+6%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $143 | 80 |
| 20 S Osceola St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (0%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $160 | 79 |
| 27 E Lemon St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (+2%) | 1mo | $94,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 8 N Monroe St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (+10%) | 1mo | $148,325 | $144 | 73 |
| 49 S Lee St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-10%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $205 | 65 |
| 4 New North Ct | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $173 | 63 |
| 11 Polk St | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 861 (-8%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $168 | 60 |
| 8 S Columbus St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,045 (+12%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $158 | 57 |
| 11 Roosevelt Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,016 (+8%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 27 N Davis St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,055 (+13%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $147 | 50 |
| 3826 N Parkside Village Ter | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 854 (-9%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $100 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-6,288
- Equity at exit
- $20,800
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $15,373
- Equity at exit
- $12,061
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34465
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Active inventory
- 401
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $257
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $336 | -5% $297 | +0% $257 | +5% $218 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $203 | +0% $257 | +5% $312 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $327 | -0.5pp $293 | base $257 | +0.5pp $221 | +1.0pp $184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 S Monroe St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 45 S Jackson St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,275 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 11 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,349 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 31 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,525 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 17 N Davis St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 13 S Washington St Beverly Hills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5 New North Ct Beverly Hills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 95 S Fillmore St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7 Donna Ct Beverly Hills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,225 | $1.81 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,500 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,500 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,500 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,500 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,500 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,500 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,500 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,500 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,500 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,500 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,500 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,500 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-01-13price $139,500
-
2025-10-08$144,900 Active
-
2025-10-07historical
-
2025-07-21price $150,000
-
2025-05-31$159,000 Active
-
2024-03-28price $178,900
-
1987-10-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,158 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$619/yr (+$52/mo · 114.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$698
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable income
- $821
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$197
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Beverly Hills
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #666
- US rank
- #13671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beverly Hills, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 18,879
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,879
- Household income
- $54,869
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 334.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.62%
- Current HPI
- 279.7183
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+248.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $139,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Listed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-31 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-28 Price Changed $178,900 RACC
- 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $539 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…