220 E Orange St · Letts, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a very nice estate property with 2 possible 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a large flat lot. The attic has potential to be finished. The garage and home are connected by a breezeway with roll up shades. All of the maintenance issues: roof, siding, furnace, air, are all newer. The office in the front of the home was the first licensed beauty salon in Iowa!. This home is being sold as is.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#530 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Louisa-Muscatine Community School District (rural): math 70% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #91 of 289 in IA (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Louisa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Louisa County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.84%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $31,790
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 N Cherry St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-2%) | 6mo | $10,000 | $7 | 80 |
| 200 E Brown St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+6%) | 3mo | $68,000 | $44 | 73 |
| 18149 Cty Rd X43 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $286,200 | $213 | 72 |
| 180 N Linn St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,256 (-13%) | 20mo | $27,500 | $22 | 50 |
| 100 E Webster St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,293 (-10%) | 13mo | $18,375 | $14 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,001
- Equity at exit
- $49,036
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $27,103
- Equity at exit
- $66,135
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52754
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,216/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-16remarks 86-char remark
-
2026-06-16$140,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,216 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,707 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 40.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,216
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$2,778
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$667
- After-tax cash flow
- $336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Louisa-Muscatine Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1917820
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 62.19/100
- National rank
- #704
- State rank
- #91 of 289 in IA
Livability — Letts
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #11818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Letts, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,430
Population outlook (Louisa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,061 people
- By 2030
- 10,869 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 10,400 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 9,878 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 9,425 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 9,584 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Louisa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.8% · R 69.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 4.2pp · 2024: -41.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.0 2020: R+33.3 2016: R+28.7 2012: D+0.7 2008: D+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.17%
- Current HPI
- 155.19
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-9.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2014-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-30 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Muscatine BOR
- 2013-11-04 Listed $79,900 Muscatine BOR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,216 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…