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220 E Orange St
D+ Composite 46.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

220 E Orange St · Letts, IA 52754
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,445 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1900 0.39 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a very nice estate property with 2 possible 3 bedrooms, 1 bath and a large flat lot. The attic has potential to be finished. The garage and home are connected by a breezeway with roll up shades. All of the maintenance issues: roof, siding, furnace, air, are all newer. The office in the front of the home was the first licensed beauty salon in Iowa!. This home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (3.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#530 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Louisa-Muscatine Community School District (rural): math 70% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #91 of 289 in IA (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Louisa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Louisa County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,655 (21.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,790
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 N Cherry St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,420 (-2%) 6mo $10,000 $7 80
200 E Brown St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,536 (+6%) 3mo $68,000 $44 73
18149 Cty Rd X43 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $286,200 $213 72
180 N Linn St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,256 (-13%) 20mo $27,500 $22 50
100 E Webster St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,293 (-10%) 13mo $18,375 $14 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,001
Equity at exit
$49,036
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$27,103
Equity at exit
$66,135

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52754

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,216/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,131
Max offer price $135,130
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    remarks 86-char remark
  2. 2026-06-16
    listed $140,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,216 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,707 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$491/yr (+$41/mo · 40.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,159
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,216
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$2,778
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$667
After-tax cash flow
$336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Louisa-Muscatine Community School District
NCES district ID
1917820
Math proficiency
70% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$58,042
Composite
62.19/100
National rank
#704
State rank
#91 of 289 in IA

Livability — Letts

Score
66/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#11818

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Letts, IA
Population (ZIP)
1,430

Population outlook (Louisa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,061 people
By 2030
10,869 · -1.7%
By 2040
10,400 · -6.0%
By 2050
9,878 · -10.7%
By 2075
9,425 · -14.8%
By 2100
9,584 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Louisa

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.8% · R 69.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 4.2pp · 2024: -41.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.0 2020: R+33.3 2016: R+28.7 2012: D+0.7 2008: D+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.17%
Current HPI
155.19
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2014-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-30 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Muscatine BOR
  • 2013-11-04 Listed $79,900 Muscatine BOR

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,216 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…