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78 Forest St Duplex
B Composite 72.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$215,000

78 Forest St · Gloversville, NY 12078
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,284 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1900 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Come check out this two family home. Two bedrooms downstairs with formal dining, living room, full bath, and laundry room. Upstairs has two bedrooms, 3rd room optional office or bedroom. Both floors include washer, dryer, refrigerator, stove. All appliances are owners and will stay with the house. Natural gas heat. 8 camera security systems goes with the house. All curtains, rugs included. Hardwood floors. Downstairs all natural oak and marble fireplace. Both floors have tin ceilings, ceiling fans and lights. Kohler toilets, Delta faucets. Breakers. Full size attic that is carpeted, super clean. Full size cellar 9' ceiling. New furnace, new hot water tank, very clean. Roof is 12 years old w

Key facts

  • Formal dining
  • Optional office
  • Laundry room

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMEFORMAL DININGLAUNDRY ROOMOPTIONAL OFFICENATURAL GAS HEATCAMERA SECURITY SYSTEMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway; Garage (1 garage space); Total of about 5 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 2,284; Entry levels include first and second floor
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Shed(s); Level, landscaped lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (one full bath on the 1st level and one full bath on the 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Paddle fan
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $310/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $211,775 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.75%
Cash-on-cash
12.36%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Broad St 0.50mi 4/2.0 2,336 (+2%) 6mo $150,000 $64 68
38 Temple St 0.66mi 4/2.0 2,296 (+0%) 1mo $107,000 $47 68
26 Grand St 0.54mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,360 (+3%) 4mo $110,000 $47 57
226 E Fulton St 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,345 (+3%) 4mo $137,000 $58 56
45 Temple St 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,182 (-4%) 6mo $114,000 $52 55
89 2nd Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,272 (-0%) 13mo $134,000 $59 54
24 4th Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,400 (+5%) 5mo $120,000 $50 53
253 S Main St 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,400 (+5%) 7mo $110,000 $46 52
260 S Main St 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,130 (-7%) 13mo $142,000 $67 48
96 Woodside Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 2,020 (-12%) 8mo $70,000 $35 47
40 Temple St 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,956 (-14%) 2mo $137,000 $70 43
45 Grove St 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-12%) 11mo $45,000 $22 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$156,512
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
8.14×
Total profit
$429,702
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12078

Home prices YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,440 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,086/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,655
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 70%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Fremont St Gloversville, NY 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1612 $1,650 $1.02 43d 3 0.29mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    status $215,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-05-23
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,086 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,360 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$1,274/yr (+$106/mo · 117.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,280
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$1,086
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,342
− Management
−$2,342
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$4,136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$993
After-tax cash flow
$6,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloversville City School District
NCES district ID
3612270
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$36,775
Composite
28.2/100
National rank
#6806
State rank
#565 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gloversville

Score
82/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#1048

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gloversville, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,087

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,132 people
By 2030
49,114 · -3.9%
By 2040
44,373 · -13.2%
By 2050
39,321 · -23.1%
By 2075
28,503 · -44.3%
By 2100
19,268 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.22%
Current HPI
315.1368
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $215,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,086 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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