Duplex
78 Forest St · Gloversville, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Come check out this two family home. Two bedrooms downstairs with formal dining, living room, full bath, and laundry room. Upstairs has two bedrooms, 3rd room optional office or bedroom. Both floors include washer, dryer, refrigerator, stove. All appliances are owners and will stay with the house. Natural gas heat. 8 camera security systems goes with the house. All curtains, rugs included. Hardwood floors. Downstairs all natural oak and marble fireplace. Both floors have tin ceilings, ceiling fans and lights. Kohler toilets, Delta faucets. Breakers. Full size attic that is carpeted, super clean. Full size cellar 9' ceiling. New furnace, new hot water tank, very clean. Roof is 12 years old w
Key facts
- Formal dining
- Optional office
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Garage (1 garage space); Total of about 5 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 2,284; Entry levels include first and second floor
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Shed(s); Level, landscaped lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (one full bath on the 1st level and one full bath on the 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Paddle fan
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $310/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.36%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,768
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Broad St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,336 (+2%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $64 | 68 |
| 38 Temple St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,296 (+0%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 26 Grand St | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,360 (+3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $47 | 57 |
| 226 E Fulton St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,345 (+3%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 45 Temple St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,182 (-4%) | 6mo | $114,000 | $52 | 55 |
| 89 2nd Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,272 (-0%) | 13mo | $134,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 24 4th Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+5%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $50 | 53 |
| 253 S Main St | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+5%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 260 S Main St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 2,130 (-7%) | 13mo | $142,000 | $67 | 48 |
| 96 Woodside Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-12%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $35 | 47 |
| 40 Temple St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,956 (-14%) | 2mo | $137,000 | $70 | 43 |
| 45 Grove St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,016 (-12%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $22 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $156,512
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $429,702
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12078
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,086/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $620
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,440 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,220 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,220 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,440 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Fremont St Gloversville, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1612 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 43d | 3 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $215,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-23$215,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,086 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,360 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,274/yr (+$106/mo · 117.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,086
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,342
- − Management
- −$2,342
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $4,136
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloversville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612270
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,775
- Composite
- 28.2/100
- National rank
- #6806
- State rank
- #565 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gloversville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #1048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gloversville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,087
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.22%
- Current HPI
- 315.1368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $215,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,086 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…