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328 Randolph St
B- Composite 69.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

328 Randolph St · East Peoria, IL 61611
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,275 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1953 0.27 ac lot Est $120k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated & move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home on over 1/2 acre lot in East Peoria. This ranch home is located on a dead-end street, spacious kitchen, double lot with privacy backyard, attached 1-stall garage, stainless steel appliances, and oversized living room. Updates include new paint, carpet, & laminate flooring, built-in kitchen cutting board, ceiling fans, painted kitchen cabinets with new hardware, updated bathroom, and all new electrical. Basement is great storage area or to be finished off. Hot tub stays. Home Warranty included.

Key facts

  • Privacy backyard
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Dead-end street

Tags

OVER 1/2 ACRE DOUBLE LOTDEAD-END STREETSPACIOUS KITCHENOVERSIZED LIVING ROOMLARGE WALK OUT BASEMENTPRIVACY BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.6% in East Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#209 in IL, #3,927 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • East Peoria Chsd 309 (suburban): math 17% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #482 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Don D Shute Elem School (192 students, 0% FRL); Central Jr High School (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 665 statewide, top 77%, 462 students, 0% FRL); East Peoria High School (math 17% / reading 15%, grade F, #457 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 947 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.16%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,850
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
328 Randolph St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,275 (0%) 2mo $75,000 $59 99
617 N Stewart St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-2%) 3mo $150,000 $120 79
615 Pekin Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+0%) 13mo $65,000 $51 77
304 Park Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,256 (-2%) 11mo $157,000 $125 74
121 Apple Ct 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,279 (+0%) 3mo $175,400 $137 62
411 W Muller Rd 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,302 (+2%) 12mo $121,500 $93 60
317 Smith St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,270 (-0%) 13mo $120,000 $94 57
326 Park Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-13%) 5mo $102,000 $92 55
408 Glendale St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,302 (+2%) 20mo $60,000 $46 52
331 Mckinley St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (+6%) 3mo $115,000 $85 51
221 N Stewart St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-12%) 2mo $135,000 $121 47
122 Holland Ct 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,182 (-7%) 11mo $124,000 $105 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$477
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$22,129
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61611

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,889/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $317 -5% $288 +0% $260 +5% $232 +10% $204
Rent -10% $154 -5% $207 +0% $260 +5% $314 +10% $367
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $286 base $260 +0.5pp $234 +1.0pp $208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
204 Pekin Ave Apt 2 East Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,350 $1.17 15d 1 0.34mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-09
    listed $99,900 Active
  3. 2022-04-04
    soldstatus $130,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Updated & move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home on over 1/2 acre lot in East Peoria. This ranch home is located on a dead-end street, spacious kitchen, double lot with privacy backyard, attached 1-stall garage, stainless steel appliances, and oversized living room. Updates include new paint, carpet, & laminate flooring, built-in kitchen cutting board, ceiling fans, painted kitchen cabinets with new hardware, updated bathroom, and all new electrical. Basement is great storage area or to be finished off. Hot tub stays. Home Warranty included.

  4. 2022-04-04
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Updated & move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home on over 1/2 acre lot in East Peoria. This ranch home is located on a dead-end street, spacious kitchen, double lot with privacy backyard, attached 1-stall garage, stainless steel appliances, and oversized living room. Updates include new paint, carpet, & laminate flooring, built-in kitchen cutting board, ceiling fans, painted kitchen cabinets with new hardware, updated bathroom, and all new electrical. Basement is great storage area or to be finished off. Hot tub stays. Home Warranty included.

  5. 2022-01-29
    listed $130,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Updated & move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home on over 1/2 acre lot in East Peoria. This ranch home is located on a dead-end street, spacious kitchen, double lot with privacy backyard, attached 1-stall garage, stainless steel appliances, and oversized living room. Updates include new paint, carpet, & laminate flooring, built-in kitchen cutting board, ceiling fans, painted kitchen cabinets with new hardware, updated bathroom, and all new electrical. Basement is great storage area or to be finished off. Hot tub stays. Home Warranty included.

  6. 2015-09-10
    soldstatus $91,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home on two wooded lots, centrally located in East Peoria. Enjoy all spring has to offer on the oversized deck. This home also features a walk out basement and detached yard shed. Home is in an estate and will be sold “AS-IS”.

  7. 2015-05-06
    listed $89,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Well maintained 3 bedroom ranch home on two wooded lots, centrally located in East Peoria. Enjoy all spring has to offer on the oversized deck. This home also features a walk out basement and detached yard shed. Home is in an estate and will be sold “AS-IS”.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,889 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,889 · $241/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,200
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,889
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,717
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$412
After-tax cash flow
$2,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Peoria Chsd 309
NCES district ID
1713230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$51,439
Composite
14.75/100
National rank
#9394
State rank
#482 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Peoria

Score
75/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#3927

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Peoria, IL
City population
23,698
Population (ZIP)
23,698

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,252 people
By 2030
128,028 · -2.5%
By 2040
120,443 · -8.2%
By 2050
111,872 · -14.8%
By 2075
89,843 · -31.5%
By 2100
66,468 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.82%
Current HPI
161.385
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-04 Sold (MLS) $130,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-29 Listed $130,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-10 Sold (MLS) $91,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-06 Listed $89,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,889 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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