139 Maple St Unit 139-MAP · Pike Creek Valley, DE
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 404 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 50.5% vs local median 4.7% in Pike Creek Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#26 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $205 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $891 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 158.00%
- DSCR
- 8.03
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $18,641
- List price
- $29,700
- Delta
- 59.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Birch St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-3%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $33 | 84 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.62×
- Total profit
- $63,341
- Equity at exit
- $4,428
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.67×
- Total profit
- $138,587
- Equity at exit
- $2,568
Cash invested: $8,316 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19808
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,646 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$156
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $446/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $1,095
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,425
- Closing costs
- $891
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5597 Heritage Court Dr Apt 2B Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,535 | $2.17 | 2d | 6 | 0.57mi |
| 4608 Haverford Pl Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,465 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 39 Abbey Ln Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,580 | $2.23 | 1d | 11 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-18days on market $29,700 Active 405 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,700 Active 404 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,700 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $29,700 Active 402 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $29,700 Active 400 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $29,700 Active 399 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $29,700 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,700 Active 395 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $29,700 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $29,700 Active 391 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $29,700 Active 390 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $29,700 Active 389 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $29,700 Active 388 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,200 Active 387 DOM
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2026-02-01price $29,200 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-05-17status Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-02-14historical 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-02-06$29,700 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,664
- − Property taxes
- −$446
- − Insurance
- −$148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,580
- − Management
- −$1,580
- − Depreciation
- −$864
- Taxable income
- $13,468
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Clay Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,298
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #12 of 26 in DE
Livability — Pike Creek Valley
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #8511
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,082
- Household income
- $94,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 8% Black 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.43%
- Current HPI
- 239.0702
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-1.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $29,200 Zillow
- 2025-05-17 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-02-14 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-02-06 Listed $29,700 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…