25302 Highway 51 Hwy · Eldon, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SUPER CLEAN AND NEAT! Approximately 1152 square feet of living area, (per CH Records) 2 bedroom, 1-1/2 bath home with metal roof, covered front porch, carport, extra storage and laundry room. The rooms are spacious including a very large living room. The interior appears in exceptional condition and well maintained. Also included is a large shop with electric and concrete floor, storage shed, 2-stall implement shed or extra car storage plus situated on 1 acre m/l of beautiful Cherokee County land. This country gem is located just a short 6-7-m minute drive to Tahlequah City Hospital, Hastings Medical Clinic/Hospital and OSU Medical School! This charming property offers many opportunities. W
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Extra storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1 acre lot; Lot features include farm, mature trees, rolling slope, ranch, wooded; Water access: Illinois River less than 10 miles away; Horses allowed
- HOA & community: Gutters noted as a community/feature
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; Carport; Workshop in garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Septic tank; Rural water
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Built per public records
- Construction: Metal roof; HardiPlank and Masonite siding with wood frame; Crawlspace foundation; Year built (public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Dirt driveway; Rain gutters; Barn(s); Storage; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with breakfast nook; Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath (First level); Bedroom with no bath (First level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (First level, hall/full bath); One half bathroom (First level, master/half bath)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Space heater; Window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range connection; Gas oven connection; Aluminum window frames; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room (inside, First level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($338/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#184 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Briggs (rural): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #253 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $999 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $144k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.84%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-15,470
- Equity at exit
- $21,545
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $16,855
- Equity at exit
- $12,494
Cash invested: $40,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74464
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$758
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $110 | -5% $69 | +0% $28 | +5% $-13 | +10% $-54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $-18 | +0% $28 | +5% $74 | +10% $121 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $101 | -0.5pp $65 | base $28 | +0.5pp $-9 | +1.0pp $-47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,125
- Closing costs
- $4,335
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $144,500
-
2026-04-18price $219,500
-
2026-03-27price $224,500
-
2026-03-20status Active
-
2026-02-21status Pending
-
2026-02-12status Active
-
2026-01-23status Pending
-
2026-01-07status Active
-
2025-12-29status Pending
-
2025-12-02$229,900 Active
-
2009-07-29soldstatus $75,000
-
2009-07-09soldstatus $75,000
-
2009-07-09soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,300 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$342/yr (+$29/mo · 35.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,094
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$4,204
- Taxable loss
- −$2,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$519
- After-tax cash flow
- $857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Briggs
- NCES district ID
- 4005430
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,113
- Composite
- 7.15/100
- National rank
- #9963
- State rank
- #253 of 270 in OK
Livability — Eldon
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #14278
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eldon, OK
- County
- Cherokee County · 31,116 people
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,116
- Household income
- $51,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1058.0
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,747 people
- By 2030
- 53,481 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 56,503 · +9.2%
- By 2050
- 59,370 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 67,178 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 70,900 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.82)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Native American 35% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.7% · R 65.3% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.14%
- Current HPI
- 226.4004
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.23%
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+92.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $144,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $219,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $224,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-21 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-12 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-29 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-02 Listed $229,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $958 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…