198 Abner Rd · Franklin, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 30.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this incredible opportunity to own a home situated on approximately 3.98 private acres, offering a peaceful, mountain-like setting while still being conveniently located near Highway 34, shopping, and everyday amenities. A charming rocking chair front porch welcomes you into a spacious family room featuring LVP flooring and abundant natural light. The eat-in kitchen offers wooden cabinetry and plenty of storage space, ready for your personal touch. The primary suite is located on the main level and includes an ensuite bathroom with a dual vanity and large closets, while two additional bedrooms and a spacious guest bedroom provide ample living space for family, guests, or a home o
Key facts
- Private acres
- Lvp flooring
- Spacious family room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.4% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#361 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Heard County (rural): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #18 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Heard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Heard County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $135k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 30% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.11%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,200
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198 Abner Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,352 (0%) | 1mo | $134,900 | $100 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,637
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,599
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30217
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $262 | +0% $224 | +5% $186 | +10% $148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $170 | +0% $224 | +5% $278 | +10% $331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $258 | base $224 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-24status Under Contract
-
2026-04-24status Back On Market
-
2026-03-16status Under Contract
-
2026-03-11$135,000 New
-
2026-01-06soldstatus $85,000
-
1995-09-20soldstatus $61,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,026 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 30% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,310
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,026
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Heard County
- NCES district ID
- 1302790
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,298
- Composite
- 41.24/100
- National rank
- #3530
- State rank
- #18 of 174 in GA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #361
- US rank
- #18512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,702
Population outlook (Heard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,988 people
- By 2030
- 10,588 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 9,635 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 8,571 · -22.0%
- By 2075
- 6,524 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 4,897 · -55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Heard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.8% · R 85.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -49.5pp · 2024: -72.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.1 2020: R+68.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+53.0 2008: R+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.52%
- Current HPI
- 372.8187
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+119.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1995-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,026 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…