5 Raven Ln E #48 · Bluffton, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
"This chаrming Rοbin Vіllа is tuckеd аway in a peaceful cul‐dе-sac offering serene lagoon and fountain views. " offering the privacy you crave with the community connection you love. Enjoy the luxury of being within near distance to the Cypress clubhouse-your hub for fitness, social events, and fun. Inside, the home feels bright and airy with a a great room and a smart split-bedroom design that gives your guests their own private space and full bath. The primary suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a cozy bay window nook and a spacious walk-in closet. With a two-car garage and a pristine interior, this home is ready for its next chapter. New roof and gutters are to be completed soon.
Key facts
- Fountain views
- Lagoon views
- Split-bedroom design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($779/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.2% in Bluffton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#76 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Okatie Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #56 of 597 statewide, top 10%, 609 students, 26% FRL); Bluffton Middle (math 40% / reading 46%, grade D-, #60 of 229 statewide, top 26%, 872 students, 45% FRL); Bluffton High (math 69% / reading 85%, grade A-, #28 of 196 statewide, top 16%, 1,350 students, 38% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Beaufort 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 789 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.99%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,877
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -15.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Dragonfly Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,247 (0%) | 17mo | $370,000 | $297 | 84 |
| 24 Sweetwater Ct | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,247 (0%) | 22mo | $340,000 | $273 | 76 |
| 40 Dragonfly Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (+17%) | 1mo | $307,500 | $211 | 72 |
| 19 Dragonfly Dr | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (+17%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $244 | 68 |
| 11 Falcon Ct | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (+17%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $248 | 66 |
| 31 Dragonfly Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,071 (-14%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $243 | 64 |
| 8 Raven Ln | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (+17%) | 14mo | $248,000 | $171 | 62 |
| 23 Raven Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,457 (+17%) | 12mo | $350,000 | $240 | 61 |
| 24 Andover Pl | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 | 1,085 (-13%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $207 | 55 |
| 32 Summerplace Dr | 0.77mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (+17%) | 17mo | $380,000 | $261 | 21 |
| 66 Summerplace Dr | 0.95mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (+17%) | 23mo | $405,000 | $279 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-27,809
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $42,135
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $325,000 ($224/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +19.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29909
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Rents YoY
- 9.3%
- Active inventory
- 789
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,531 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $162 | +0% $65 | +5% $-32 | +10% $-129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-35 | +0% $65 | +5% $165 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $206 | -0.5pp $136 | base $65 | +0.5pp $-8 | +1.0pp $-81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Darby Creek Ct Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,350 | $1.58 | 93d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 37 Nesting Ln Bluffton, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 62d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $279,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $279,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $279,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $279,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $279,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $279,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $279,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $279,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $279,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $279,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $279,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $279,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $279,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $279,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $279,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $279,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $279,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $279,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $279,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $279,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $279,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $279,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $279,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $279,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $279,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-07price $279,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $299,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $299,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $299,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $299,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $299,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $299,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $299,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $299,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $299,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $299,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $299,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $299,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 153 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$4,198
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,429
- − Management
- −$2,429
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$3,910
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$938
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming Robin Villa is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed. It offers a great split-bedroom design and is located in a peaceful cul-de-sac with community amenities nearby.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor living room carpet — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace carpet in living room — improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space ↑
- Resale update flooring in kitchen — modernizes space ↑
- Both update lighting throughout — enhances ambiance and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaufort 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501110
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,430
- Composite
- 40.56/100
- National rank
- #3699
- State rank
- #17 of 80 in SC
Livability — Bluffton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #8936
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Beaufort County · 211,915 people
- City population
- 77,022
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,003
- Household income
- $91,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,915 people
- By 2030
- 227,272 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 253,861 · +19.8%
- By 2050
- 275,126 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 311,022 · +46.8%
- By 2100
- 321,286 · +51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.99%
- Current HPI
- 196.0491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.31%
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-8.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $299,900 RSMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $309,900 RSMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $329,900 RSMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $3,299,000 RSMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $329,000 RSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…