249 Mackenzie Way · Lewisburg, TN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
From the open floorplan to its smart home features, this gorgeous end townhome s maintenance free in beautifully landscaped community! Designed with modern living in mind, every inch of this home is built for both entertaining and everyday ease. The popular Medford floor plan has 3 beds, 2.5 baths and 1,474 sq ft. All bedrooms are upstairs making the downstairs feel spacious! The home comes with ALL Stainless-Steel appliances included, smart home features, quartz countertops and much more! Visit us today to walk this floorplan in person and explore with bucolic Lewisburg has to offer. Photos are of Medford model home; floor plan is the same. Near quaint downtown and all the restaurants and shopping! 35 minutes to Cool Springs! Taxes are estimated. Builder contract. Call and don't miss out on this great value! Onsite Agent is Jeffrey James.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open floorplan
- Maintenance free
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (11.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.7% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary (471 students, 0% FRL); Westhills Elementary (math 29% / reading 23%, grade F, #144 of 333 statewide, top 44%, 603 students, 0% FRL); Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.46%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,103
- List price
- $199,990
- Delta
- -12.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 Mackenzie Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (0%) | 1mo | $204,990 | $139 | 99 |
| 134 Mattie Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (0%) | 0mo | $191,510 | $130 | 96 |
| 149 Mackenzie Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (0%) | 6mo | $199,990 | $136 | 93 |
| 325 Weston Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (0%) | 19mo | $234,990 | $159 | 81 |
| 198 Southview Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+2%) | 4mo | $309,900 | $207 | 74 |
| 943 Wedgewood Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-6%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $213 | 70 |
| 172 Southview Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+2%) | 10mo | $317,700 | $211 | 70 |
| 118 Southview Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-15%) | 2mo | $259,900 | $207 | 62 |
| 185 Southview Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (-9%) | 7mo | $301,000 | $224 | 60 |
| 1211 Maelee Ann Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,649 (+12%) | 4mo | $316,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 115 Cecil St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+2%) | 18mo | $299,999 | $200 | 55 |
| 811 Meadow St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (+8%) | 21mo | $327,000 | $205 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-42,577
- Equity at exit
- $29,819
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-49,837
- Equity at exit
- $17,291
Cash invested: $55,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $283,743 ($232/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 122 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -33.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 37091
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 350
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$153
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-162
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-162 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-299 | -5% $-230 | +0% $-162 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-111 | base $-162 | +0.5pp $-213 | +1.0pp $-266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,998
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 Mackenzie Way Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 241 Mackenzie Way Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 239 Mackenzie Way Unit 87 Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 30d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 174 Mackenzie Way Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 70d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 174 Mackenzie Way Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 72d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 968 Foxboro Dr Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Level lot/topography
- HOA & community
- HOA with monthly fee (includes maintenance of structure and grounds, insurance)Association amenities: sidewalks, underground utilitiesPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 1-car garage with garage door openerDriveway and parking lot access1 covered parking space, 1 total parking space
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)Smart camera(s)Smart lock(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableWater available
- Home design
- Residential detached horizontal property regime (end unit)New constructionTwo levelsSlab foundationShingle roof
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingBuilt new (year listed as new)
- Exterior features
- PatioPrivacy fenceSmart camera(s) with recordingSmart irrigationSmart lock(s)
Interior
- Kitchen
- PantryDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveElectric range
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (one with full bath)Bedroom sizes approx. 11x13, 9x9, 11x9
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroomMaster bath with double vanity
- Heating & cooling
- Central electric heatingCentral electric air conditioning
- Interior features
- Air filterExtra closetsSmart lightingSmart thermostatSmoke detector(s)Air purifier
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookup
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-07-03days on market $199,990 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $199,990 Active 10 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $199,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $199,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $199,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,990 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $199,990 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $199,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $199,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $199,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $189,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,990 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $189,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $199,990 1198-char remark
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2026-04-24price $209,990 1198-char remark
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2026-03-27price $212,990 1198-char remark
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2026-03-26$243,990 Active 1198-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − HOA
- −$1,836
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,331
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,279
- After-tax cash flow
- $-659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This Medford model home is in excellent condition with modern features and a well-maintained exterior, making it a strong candidate for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Smart home features — Enhances both resale and rental appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 4702670
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,058
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7426
- State rank
- #58 of 139 in TN
Livability — Lewisburg
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #284
- US rank
- #20031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewisburg, TN
- County
- Marshall · 33,222 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,991
- Household income
- $61,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,222 people
- By 2030
- 33,867 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 34,743 · +4.6%
- By 2050
- 34,954 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 34,652 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 31,862 · -4.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 350.5306
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+2.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-03 Sold (MLS) $204,990 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-22 Listed $199,990 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-20 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $189,990 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-30 Listed $199,990 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $167 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…