20658 Andalusite Way · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$178,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Cibola - The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $179k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (12.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Heritage El (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 485 students, 90% FRL); Julius L Matthey Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 604 students, 92% FRL); Southside H S (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,685 students, 85% FRL).
- Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.69%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,931
- List price
- $178,999
- Delta
- -2.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20622 Andalusite Way | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 1,535 (0%) | 2mo | $179,999 | $117 | 96 |
| 20572 Andalusite Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,535 (0%) | 1mo | $159,999 | $104 | 92 |
| 20536 Andalusite Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,535 (0%) | 1mo | $159,999 | $104 | 92 |
| 20560 Andalusite Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,535 (0%) | 2mo | $159,999 | $104 | 91 |
| 2722 Jasper Stone | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (-2%) | 0mo | $150,999 | $101 | 86 |
| 2702 Jasper Stone | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (-2%) | 2mo | $166,999 | $111 | 84 |
| 20626 Andalusite Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-11%) | 0mo | $146,999 | $108 | 74 |
| 2878 Red Diamond | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 1,692 (+10%) | 1mo | $185,999 | $110 | 73 |
| 20614 Andalusite Way | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-11%) | 2mo | $148,999 | $110 | 72 |
| 2717 Morganite Ring | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,411 (-8%) | 1mo | $177,999 | $126 | 70 |
| 2721 Morganite Ring | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-9%) | 1mo | $181,999 | $130 | 69 |
| 2706 Jasper Stone | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-10%) | 1mo | $141,999 | $103 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $20,909
- Equity at exit
- $90,181
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $77,432
- Equity at exit
- $147,043
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78264
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 359
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,403 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $-154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-30 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-216 | +10% $-278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-265 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-99 | +10% $-43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-64 | -0.5pp $-108 | base $-154 | +0.5pp $-200 | +1.0pp $-248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20642 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 20622 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1535 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 20618 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,450 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 20448 Red Coral San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1129 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,320 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3008 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,195 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,550 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 20511 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1207 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1207 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1207 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $995 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $995 | $0.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 20414 Deets Trl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $1,750 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18status $178,999 Pending 120 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $178,999 Price Change 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $178,999 Price Change 119 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $178,999 Price Change 118 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $178,999 Price Change 117 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $178,999 Price Change 115 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $178,999 Price Change 114 DOM
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $178,999 Price Change 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $180,999 Price Change 110 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $180,999 Price Change 109 DOM
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2026-06-04pricestatusdays on market $180,999 Price Change 106 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $182,999 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $182,999 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $182,999 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $182,999 Active 102 DOM
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2026-02-18$182,999 New 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
The Cibola - The first floor of this two-story home is host to an open floorplan that combines a fully-equipped kitchen with the living and dining areas to maximize the footprint of the home. There are four bedrooms located upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which is positioned at the back of the home for enhanced privacy and comfort. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,347
- − Management
- −$1,347
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$4,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $-653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story home is in good condition with a modern design and well-maintained features. It is ready for move-in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior and new carpet in the bedrooms to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Rental Replace the carpet in the bedrooms — New carpet can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Replace the carpet in the bedrooms — New carpet can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southside ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840920
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,526
- Composite
- 17.68/100
- National rank
- #9027
- State rank
- #771 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,702
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 73%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.94%
- Current HPI
- 298.8446
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $182,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…