12560 Haster #207 · Garden Grove, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION. This listing features 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Fairlane Estates. . Just minutes from Disneyland, Great Wolf Lodge, a Crystal Cathedral, The Outlets and with easy access to the 5, 22, and 57 freeways, this home places you at the center of Orange County’s top attractions, shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss your chance to live in one of Garden Grove’s most well-connected communities
Key facts
- 16.32 acre lot
- Community pool
- Built 1999
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 1.8% in Garden Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#343 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living F.
- Orange Unified (urban): math 39% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #127 of 517 in CA (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.26%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,656
- List price
- $209,900
- Delta
- 29.84%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13181 LAMPSON Ave #122 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $204 | 88 |
| 13181 Lampson Ave #107 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 14mo | $197,000 | $189 | 79 |
| 13181 Lampson Ave #420 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $178 | 78 |
| 13181 Lampson Ave #112 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 12560 Haster St #149 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $57 | 75 |
| 12560 Haster St #205 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 6mo | $68,000 | $71 | 74 |
| 13181 Lampson Ave #317 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 21mo | $183,000 | $176 | 74 |
| 12560 Haster St #146 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,203 (+14%) | 15mo | $187,000 | $155 | 64 |
| 12560 Haster St #233 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 905 (-14%) | 16mo | $172,500 | $191 | 62 |
| 13181 Lampson Ave #119 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $151 | 56 |
| 13102 Partridge #12 | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 998 (-6%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $135 | 45 |
| 13102 PARTRIDGE St #53 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 944 (-11%) | 13mo | $133,000 | $141 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $19,153
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $71,275
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92840
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,154 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$662
- Net cashflow
- $916
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13061 Lampson Ave Garden Grove, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 847 | $2,550 | $3.01 | 10d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 12611 Sungrove Cir Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $3,350 | $2.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 12621 Lewis St Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 12681 Lewis St Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,722 | $3.51 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 13100 Garden Grove Blvd Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $2,700 | $2.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13181 Balboa Ave Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,295 | $3.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12602 Citruswood Ave Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $6,000 | $6.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 12777 Garden Grove Blvd Garden Grove, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $2,470 | $3.38 | 7d | 3 | 0.54mi |
| 200 City Blvd W Orange, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $3,263 | $3.64 | 1d | 12 | 0.57mi |
| 3825 W Garden Grove Blvd Orange, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1112 | $2,845 | $2.56 | 2d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 12842 Palm St #6 Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $2,400 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 12664 Chapman Ave Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,950 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 385 S Manchester Ave Orange, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $4,346 | $4.81 | 2d | 26 | 0.79mi |
| 332 W Summerfield Cir Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $5,250 | $3.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 126 E Wilken Way Unit 6 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,995 | $3.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 488 W Summerfield Cir Unit 1 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1226 | $3,495 | $2.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 335 W Summerfield Cir Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1478 | $3,550 | $2.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12291 Hampton Ave Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $4,950 | $4.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2170 S Harbor Blvd Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $3,000 | $3.97 | 12d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 2104 S Lewis St Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $3,080 | $3.83 | 1d | 5 | 1.06mi |
| 12162 Jentges Ave Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $2,620 | $2.89 | 12d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 801 E Orangewood Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $3,185 | $4.11 | 1d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 12132 Chapman Ave Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 908 | $2,445 | $2.69 | 16d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 12562 Cardinal Ave Unit B Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,800 | $2.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1313 W Memory Ln Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $2,750 | $3.42 | 43d | 4 | 1.15mi |
| 2045 S Haster St Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1035 | $3,048 | $2.94 | 1d | 3 | 1.15mi |
| 2044 S Nautical St Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,300 | $2.71 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 401 W Orangewood Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $2,830 | $3.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 299 N State College Blvd Orange, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $4,805 | $4.78 | 1d | 75 | 1.22mi |
| 325 E Leatrice Ln Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,475 | $3.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2001 S Haster St Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 885 | $2,655 | $3.00 | 11d | 5 | 1.25mi |
| 2001 S Haster St Unit 05D Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,495 | $3.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2001 S Haster St Unit 29B Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $2,655 | $2.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2001 S Haster St Unit 02C Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,595 | $2.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 331 E Wakefield Ave Anaheim, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $3,500 | $2.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 331 E Wakefield Ave Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,200 | $2.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3063 W Chapman Ave Orange, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $3,247 | $3.73 | 1d | 30 | 1.32mi |
| 1147 W Memory Ln Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 956 | $2,700 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11791 Comstock Rd Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $3,950 | $3.42 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1921 S Union St Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $4,392 | $4.57 | 1d | 19 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $209,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27$209,900 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION. This listing features 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Fairlane Estates. . Just minutes from Disneyland, Great Wolf Lodge, a Crystal Cathedral, The Outlets and with easy access to the 5, 22, and 57 freeways, this home places you at the center of Orange County’s top attractions, shopping, dining, and entertainment. Don’t miss your chance to live in one of Garden Grove’s most well-connected communities
-
2009-02-22historical
-
2008-03-24$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,851
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$3,148
- − Insurance
- −$2,552
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,028
- − Management
- −$3,028
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable income
- $8,231
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,975
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,018/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628650
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,557
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2609
- State rank
- #127 of 517 in CA
Livability — Garden Grove
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #11727
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garden Grove, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 157,355
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,534
- Household income
- $98,881
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2006.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Asian 37% White 16% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Vietnam, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 33% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 26% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -718.10%
- Current HPI
- 468.215
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.30%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+255.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $209,900 CRMLS
- 2009-02-22 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-03-24 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $233 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…