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15 Old Lee School Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,500

15 Old Lee School Rd · LaFayette, GA 30728
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 314 Days on market
Built 1991 2.20 ac lot $95/sqft · 66% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home located just south of Lafayette in quiet setting. 24x40 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Currently tenant occupied by the same tenants for 6 years at $750 monthly. Metal storage building does not convey.

Key facts

  • 2.2 acre lot
  • Built 1991
  • Listed 314 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $91,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$268,229) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.1% in LaFayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#345 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $80,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.45%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$268,229
List price
$91,500
Delta
-65.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 Lee School Rd 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+8%) 22mo $300,000 $288 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$15,716
Equity at exit
$13,643
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$53,073
Equity at exit
$7,911

Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30728

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$480
Tax est. 1.5%
$114 /mo · $1,372/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $91,500
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $542 -5% $511 +0% $479 +5% $448 +10% $416
Rent -10% $368 -5% $424 +0% $479 +5% $535 +10% $590
Rate -1.0pp $525 -0.5pp $502 base $479 +0.5pp $456 +1.0pp $431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,875
Closing costs
$2,745
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,500 Active 314 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,500 Active 313 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,500 Active 312 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,500 Active 311 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $91,500 Active 309 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $91,500 Active 308 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $91,500 Active 306 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $91,500 Active 305 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $91,500 Active 304 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $91,500 Active 303 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $91,500 Active 300 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $91,500 Active 299 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $91,500 Active 298 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $91,500 Active 297 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $91,500 Active 296 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $91,500 Active 295 DOM
  17. 2026-02-03
    price $91,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Home located just south of Lafayette in quiet setting. 24x40 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Currently tenant occupied by the same tenants for 6 years at $750 monthly. Metal storage building does not convey.

  18. 2026-01-08
    price $92,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Home located just south of Lafayette in quiet setting. 24x40 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Currently tenant occupied by the same tenants for 6 years at $750 monthly. Metal storage building does not convey.

  19. 2025-10-22
    price $104,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Home located just south of Lafayette in quiet setting. 24x40 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Currently tenant occupied by the same tenants for 6 years at $750 monthly. Metal storage building does not convey.

  20. 2025-08-07
    listed $109,000 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Home located just south of Lafayette in quiet setting. 24x40 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Currently tenant occupied by the same tenants for 6 years at $750 monthly. Metal storage building does not convey.

  21. 2019-10-15
    price $53,000
  22. 2019-08-19
    price $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,884
− Mortgage interest
−$5,125
− Property taxes
−$1,372
− Insurance
−$458
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$2,662
Taxable income
$4,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,096
After-tax cash flow
$4,655/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
1305370
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,889
Composite
22.74/100
National rank
#8035
State rank
#114 of 174 in GA

Livability — LaFayette

Score
61/100
State rank
#345
US rank
#17893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walker County · 48,831 people
City population
18,790
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
18,790
Household income
$55,455
Rent vs Own
26.6% rent · 73.4% own
Severe rent burden
233.0

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,050 people
By 2030
64,305 · -2.6%
By 2040
60,127 · -9.0%
By 2050
55,551 · -15.9%
By 2075
44,886 · -32.0%
By 2100
34,015 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.02%
Current HPI
271.2944
Rent YoY
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $91,500 GCAR
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $92,500 GCAR
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $104,000 GCAR
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $109,000 GCAR
  • 2019-10-15 Price Changed $53,000 GCAR
  • 2019-08-19 Price Changed $54,000 GCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…