346 Sunshine Ave · Central City, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$94,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this home on on a corner lot with an inviting front porch. A large backyard provides opportunity for multiple activities. This home features a large kitchen and the bathroom is highlighted with a walk in shower. Parking is made easy with an off-street area. Take a look and picture making it your own!
Key facts
- Off street area
- Inviting front porch
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story brick building
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Resale property; Lot approximately 0.1286 acres
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Has basement; Carpet and laminate flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,333 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Shade-Central City SD (rural): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #411 of 658 in PA (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,195
- List price
- $94,995
- Delta
- 41.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656 Lynn St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 6mo | $74,900 | $52 | 76 |
| 511 Ash St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+4%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 641 Lynn St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (-12%) | 13mo | $39,900 | $29 | 63 |
| 270 Pine St | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $76 | 56 |
| 415 Manges St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+4%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $50 | 50 |
| 550 Lambert St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,639 (+5%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $82 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $31,880
- Equity at exit
- $47,533
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $85,936
- Equity at exit
- $77,245
Cash invested: $26,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15926
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,749
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,995 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,995 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,995 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,995 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,995 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,995 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,995 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,995 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,995 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,995 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $94,995 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,995 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,995 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-08$99,995 Active 312-char remark
-
2026-05-04soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,364 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$137/yr (+$11/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,227
- − Insurance
- −$1,141
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$2,763
- Taxable income
- $1,600
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$384
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shade-Central City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221180
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,850
- Composite
- 43.81/100
- National rank
- #6340
- State rank
- #411 of 658 in PA
Livability — Central City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1333
- US rank
- #16460
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,474
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Current HPI
- 151.1455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+18.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $94,995 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $99,995 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,227 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…