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4718 Fossil Dr
B+ Composite 78.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

4718 Fossil Dr · Haltom City, TX 76117
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1949 0.25 ac lot Est $186k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special on a big corner lot. Beautiful mature shade trees. 2 bedroom 1 bath in need of repairs. Easy access to Loop 820 and I-35W. Located between Dallas and Fort Worth in the Haltom city area.

Key facts

  • Easy access to i-35w
  • Mature shade trees
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTMATURE SHADE TREESEASY ACCESS TO LOOP 820EASY ACCESS TO I-35WHALTOM CITY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Loan type: Treat As Clear; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (no garage or covered/carport spaces)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1949; Siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Wood fencing; Corner lot with many trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Primary bedroom on main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total of 2 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.3% in Haltom City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Birdville ISD (suburban): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #299 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Birdville El (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 694 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 48% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Birdville ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.01%
Cash-on-cash
20.41%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,048
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3405 Eastridge Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 853 (+4%) 7mo $175,000 $205 61
3100 Eastridge Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 917 (+12%) 3mo $214,900 $234 55
2320 Harris Ln 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 878 (+8%) 10mo $199,900 $228 45
3309 Eastridge Dr 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (+12%) 15mo $169,900 $187 44
2921 Eastridge Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-4%) 22mo $179,000 $228 43
4305 Mckibben St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 756 (-7%) 9mo $199,999 $265 42
2104 Oakwood St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 788 (-3%) 20mo $145,000 $184 41
4308 Patricia St 0.73mi 3/1.0 909 (+11%) 8mo $167,000 $184 40
3305 Rita Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-6%) 24mo $205,000 $267 33
2238 Minnie St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (+13%) 19mo $210,000 $228 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$21,577
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$91,696
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76117

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,443 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3301 Aurora St Unit D Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,600 $1.43 24d 1 0.61mi
3301 Aurora St Unit B Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.5 1116 $1,500 $1.34 2d 1 0.61mi
3301 Aurora St Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,600 $1.43 43d 1 0.61mi
3301 Aurora St Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,600 $1.43 24d 1 0.61mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 889 $1,215 $1.37 12d 1 0.66mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 889 $1,215 $1.37 11d 1 0.66mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,580 $1.40 11d 1 0.66mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,560 $1.39 3d 1 0.66mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 889 $1,215 $1.37 3d 1 0.66mi
5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 889 $1,250 $1.41 43d 1 0.66mi
4233 Voncille St Haltom City, TX 3.0 1.0 1085 $1,740 $1.60 15d 1 0.88mi
2104 Kings Ave Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,600 $1.50 43d 1 0.94mi
4812 Waldemar St Haltom City, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 856 $1,575 $1.84 5d 8 0.97mi
1912 Bernice St Unit B Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.5 950 $1,100 $1.16 5d 1 1.05mi
1912 Bernice St Unit D Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.5 879 $1,100 $1.25 43d 1 1.05mi
3736 Layton Ave Haltom City, TX 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,600 $1.45 43d 1 1.12mi
1723 Oak Knoll Dr Unit 6 Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,049 $1.50 6d 1 1.16mi
1723 Oak Knoll Dr Unit 5 Haltom City, TX 3.0 1.0 821 $1,199 $1.46 6d 1 1.16mi
1410 Joplin St Haltom City, TX 2.0 1.0 816 $1,595 $1.95 43d 1 1.40mi
5100 Herrick Ct Haltom City, TX 2.0 2.0 901 $1,075 $1.19 6d 1 1.41mi
2211 Barbell Ln Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 718 $1,295 $1.80 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    remarks 202-char remark
  4. 2026-06-03
    listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,177 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$653/yr (+$54/mo · 55.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,321
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,177
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,386
− Management
−$1,386
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,362
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,047
After-tax cash flow
$4,667/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birdville ISD
NCES district ID
4810230
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,930
Composite
37.13/100
National rank
#4491
State rank
#299 of 826 in TX

Livability — Haltom City

Score
66/100
State rank
#644
US rank
#12214

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Haltom City, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
32,950
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
32,950
Household income
$51,670
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
1105.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 18% Asian 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.25%
Current HPI
328.69
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $100,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,177 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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