4718 Fossil Dr · Haltom City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special on a big corner lot. Beautiful mature shade trees. 2 bedroom 1 bath in need of repairs. Easy access to Loop 820 and I-35W. Located between Dallas and Fort Worth in the Haltom city area.
Key facts
- Easy access to i-35w
- Mature shade trees
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Loan type: Treat As Clear; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (no garage or covered/carport spaces)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1949; Siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Wood fencing; Corner lot with many trees
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Primary bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total of 2 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.3% in Haltom City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Birdville ISD (suburban): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #299 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Birdville El (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 694 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 48% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Birdville ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.41%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,048
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3405 Eastridge Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 853 (+4%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $205 | 61 |
| 3100 Eastridge Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 917 (+12%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $234 | 55 |
| 2320 Harris Ln | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 878 (+8%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $228 | 45 |
| 3309 Eastridge Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+12%) | 15mo | $169,900 | $187 | 44 |
| 2921 Eastridge Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-4%) | 22mo | $179,000 | $228 | 43 |
| 4305 Mckibben St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 756 (-7%) | 9mo | $199,999 | $265 | 42 |
| 2104 Oakwood St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 788 (-3%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $184 | 41 |
| 4308 Patricia St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 909 (+11%) | 8mo | $167,000 | $184 | 40 |
| 3305 Rita Ln | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-6%) | 24mo | $205,000 | $267 | 33 |
| 2238 Minnie St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+13%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $228 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $21,577
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $91,696
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76117
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $476
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3301 Aurora St Unit D Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3301 Aurora St Unit B Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3301 Aurora St Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3301 Aurora St Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,215 | $1.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,215 | $1.37 | 11d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,580 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,560 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,215 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 Adams Dr Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4233 Voncille St Haltom City, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,740 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2104 Kings Ave Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4812 Waldemar St Haltom City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $1,575 | $1.84 | 5d | 8 | 0.97mi |
| 1912 Bernice St Unit B Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1912 Bernice St Unit D Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 879 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3736 Layton Ave Haltom City, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1723 Oak Knoll Dr Unit 6 Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,049 | $1.50 | 6d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1723 Oak Knoll Dr Unit 5 Haltom City, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,199 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1410 Joplin St Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,595 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5100 Herrick Ct Haltom City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 901 | $1,075 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2211 Barbell Ln Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $1,295 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 202-char remark
-
2026-06-03$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$653/yr (+$54/mo · 55.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,177
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,362
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birdville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810230
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,930
- Composite
- 37.13/100
- National rank
- #4491
- State rank
- #299 of 826 in TX
Livability — Haltom City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #644
- US rank
- #12214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Haltom City, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 32,950
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,950
- Household income
- $51,670
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1105.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 18% Asian 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.25%
- Current HPI
- 328.69
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,177 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…