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6126 Guilford St
C Composite 56.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

6126 Guilford St · Detroit, MI 48224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 937 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1954 5,663 sqft lot $128/sqft · 57% above area Est $153k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $120k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.62%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,058
List price
$120,000
Delta
-21.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6106 Oldtown St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 961 (+3%) 1mo $132,000 $137 83
5981 University Pl 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 964 (+3%) 3mo $64,000 $66 76
6135 Marseilles St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+5%) 0mo $55,000 $56 72
6156 Lodewyck St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-4%) 1mo $51,000 $57 70
10510 Duprey St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 947 (+1%) 6mo $90,000 $95 66
5220 University Pl 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,001 (+7%) 0mo $40,000 $40 62
11017 Worden St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 961 (+3%) 0mo $47,500 $49 56
10945 Peerless St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 964 (+3%) 2mo $54,000 $56 56
5252 Lodewyck St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,006 (+7%) 5mo $105,000 $104 48
19134 Mallina St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+10%) 2mo $179,000 $173 43
10830 Mckinney St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,066 (+14%) 1mo $40,199 $38 42
5921 Audubon Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,039 (+11%) 6mo $190,000 $183 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-14,025
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-12,637
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,471/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $197 -5% $163 +0% $129 +5% $95 +10% $61
Rent -10% $28 -5% $79 +0% $129 +5% $180 +10% $231
Rate -1.0pp $190 -0.5pp $160 base $129 +0.5pp $98 +1.0pp $67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 19d 1 0.08mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 18d 1 0.11mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 45d 1 0.13mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 4d 1 0.13mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 18d 1 0.21mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.27mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 45d 1 0.30mi
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 45d 1 0.31mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 13d 1 0.34mi
16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 16d 1 0.39mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 25d 1 0.40mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 45d 1 0.48mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 45d 1 0.50mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.57mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 0.58mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 45d 1 0.60mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 45d 1 0.60mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 13d 1 0.61mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 45d 1 0.64mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 6d 1 0.73mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 0.73mi
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 4d 1 0.75mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 25d 1 0.76mi
4865 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 630 $1,200 $1.90 45d 1 0.76mi
4837 Cadieux Rd Unit 9 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,200 $1.85 45d 1 0.78mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 23d 1 0.80mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 45d 1 0.80mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 10 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 45d 1 0.80mi
17137 Ontario St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 982 $1,123 $1.14 25d 1 0.83mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 4d 1 0.85mi
16530 E Warren Ave Unit 209 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 850 $1,292 $1.52 45d 1 0.86mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 4d 1 0.90mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 4d 1 0.91mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 19d 1 0.91mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 18d 1 0.92mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 4d 1 0.92mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 18d 1 0.97mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 25d 1 0.98mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 16d 1 0.98mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-04-14
    listed $120,000 Active
  12. 2026-04-14
    listed $120,000 Active
  13. 2022-06-15
    price $1,200
  14. 2021-06-28
    soldstatus $45,200
  15. 2021-06-25
    soldstatus $45,200 Sold
  16. 2021-06-25
    soldstatus $45,200 Closed
  17. 2021-06-12
    status Pending
  18. 2021-06-12
    status Pending
  19. 2021-06-11
    listed $40,000 Active
  20. 2021-06-11
    listed $40,000 Active
  21. 2021-06-06
    historical $40,000
  22. 2021-06-06
    historical $40,000
  23. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $15,000
  24. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $15,000
  25. 2013-11-11
    historical
  26. 2013-11-04
    listed $15,000
  27. 2013-11-04
    listed $15,000
  28. 2012-04-18
    historical
  29. 2012-04-16
    historical
  30. 2012-04-16
    historical
  31. 2012-01-30
    listed $18,000
  32. 2012-01-30
    listed $18,000
  33. 2012-01-30
    listed $18,000
  34. 2011-08-03
    historical
  35. 2011-07-27
    historical
  36. 2011-03-29
    listed $20,000
  37. 2011-03-29
    listed $20,000
  38. 2011-03-27
    historical
  39. 2011-03-27
    historical
  40. 2010-09-27
    listed $30,000
  41. 2010-09-27
    listed $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,471 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,471 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,410
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,471
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$81
After-tax cash flow
$1,633/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-15 Price Changed $1,200 RENT.
  • 2021-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,200 Public Records
  • 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $45,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $45,200 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-11 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-11 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-06 Coming Soon $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-06 Coming Soon $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-04 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-04 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-30 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-30 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-30 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-29 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-29 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-09-27 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-27 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+23.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,471 · -37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…