201 S Kansas Ave · Selden, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Craft room
- Formal dining room
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 37 x 140
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Interior features: Full concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($839 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#367 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Golden Plains (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #224 of 280 in KS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Sheridan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.98%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $27,610
- Equity at exit
- $39,715
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.76×
- Total profit
- $73,610
- Equity at exit
- $68,581
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67757
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $203 | +0% $179 | +5% $155 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $113 | -5% $146 | +0% $179 | +5% $212 | +10% $246 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $215 | -0.5pp $197 | base $179 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$806
- − Management
- −$806
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $1,103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$265
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Golden Plains
- NCES district ID
- 2011040
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,508
- Composite
- 25.03/100
- National rank
- #12958
- State rank
- #224 of 280 in KS
Livability — Selden
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #16411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Selden, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 481
Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,397 people
- By 2030
- 2,338 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 2,230 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 2,144 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 2,110 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 1,900 · -20.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.3) · D 9.2% · R 89.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -62.1pp · 2024: -80.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.3 2020: R+78.2 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+73.6 2008: R+62.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.01%
- Current HPI
- 159.2155
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $70,000 Hays MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…