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912 N Hickory St
A- Composite 81.07
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

912 N Hickory St · Bald Knob, AR 72010
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 186 Days on market
Built 1985 0.61 ac lot $57/sqft · 36% below area Est $125k · 36% under ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • New gutters
  • Dedicated office

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICECOVERED PORCHCONVENIENT CARPORTNEW WINDOWSNEW GUTTERSTHREE STORAGE BUILDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.0% in Bald Knob — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#340 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bald Knob School District (rural): math 33% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #144 of 238 in AR (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.17%
Cash-on-cash
17.41%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,671
List price
$80,000
Delta
-35.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
803 Upchurch St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (-8%) 9mo $170,000 $132 65
305 N Elm St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,450 (+4%) 4mo $183,000 $126 63
309 W Cleveland St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,428 (+3%) 8mo $155,000 $109 57
405 Laview 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,453 (+4%) 14mo $175,000 $120 56
200 Wynn St 0.64mi 4/2.5 1,425 (+2%) 8mo $120,000 $84 53
727 Forbes Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,227 (-12%) 12mo $140,000 $114 53
801 Upchurch 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (-13%) 16mo $151,000 $124 50
118 E Forbes Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (-9%) 10mo $99,000 $78 50
606 W Center St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,548 (+11%) 5mo $160,000 $103 39
105 Pasco St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,214 (-13%) 0mo $163,800 $135 38
406 N Main St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 22mo $141,000 $118 33
102 Kelly Ann St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (+11%) 19mo $169,500 $110 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$24,029
Equity at exit
$37,650
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$65,929
Equity at exit
$59,364

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72010

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 546-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 170 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 169 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 168 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 167 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 166 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    price $80,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  19. 2026-05-05
    status Back on Market 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  20. 2026-04-27
    historical Take Backups 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  21. 2026-04-04
    price $97,500 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  22. 2026-02-25
    price $105,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  23. 2026-02-10
    price $115,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  24. 2026-01-23
    price $120,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  25. 2026-01-15
    price $129,900 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

  26. 2025-12-15
    listed $134,900 New Listing 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,333
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$1,902
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$309
After-tax cash flow
$2,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bald Knob School District
NCES district ID
0502700
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,076
Composite
26.45/100
National rank
#7218
State rank
#144 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bald Knob

Score
57/100
State rank
#340
US rank
#21701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bald Knob, AR
Population (ZIP)
5,283

Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,310 people
By 2030
83,861 · +1.9%
By 2040
86,492 · +5.1%
By 2050
88,246 · +7.2%
By 2075
91,307 · +10.9%
By 2100
91,548 · +11.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · White

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.37%
Current HPI
206.1058
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $80,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $97,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $105,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $120,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $129,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $134,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

-14.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $36 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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