912 N Hickory St · Bald Knob, AR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- New gutters
- Dedicated office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.0% in Bald Knob — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#340 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Bald Knob School District (rural): math 33% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #144 of 238 in AR (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.41%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,671
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -35.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Upchurch St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (-8%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 305 N Elm St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (+4%) | 4mo | $183,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 309 W Cleveland St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,428 (+3%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $109 | 57 |
| 405 Laview | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,453 (+4%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 200 Wynn St | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 1,425 (+2%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $84 | 53 |
| 727 Forbes Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,227 (-12%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 801 Upchurch | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-13%) | 16mo | $151,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 118 E Forbes Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,268 (-9%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $78 | 50 |
| 606 W Center St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+11%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $103 | 39 |
| 105 Pasco St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-13%) | 0mo | $163,800 | $135 | 38 |
| 406 N Main St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-14%) | 22mo | $141,000 | $118 | 33 |
| 102 Kelly Ann St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (+11%) | 19mo | $169,500 | $110 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $24,029
- Equity at exit
- $37,650
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $65,929
- Equity at exit
- $59,364
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72010
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 546-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-05-16price $80,000 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-05-05status Back on Market 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-04-27historical Take Backups 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-04-04price $97,500 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-02-25price $105,000 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-02-10price $115,000 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
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2026-01-23price $120,000 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
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2026-01-15price $129,900 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
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2025-12-15$134,900 New Listing 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Well-Maintained 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home on approximately . 61 acres, located a short distance from Bald Knob High School. This comfortable residence features a dedicated office, a nice covered porch, and a convenient carport. Recent updates include new windows and gutters. The property includes three storage buildings (12x24, 12x18, and 12x55)-perfect for tools, hobbies, or extra storage. Quiet, well-maintained grounds and thoughtful updates make this a move-in-ready opportunity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,902
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$309
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bald Knob School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,076
- Composite
- 26.45/100
- National rank
- #7218
- State rank
- #144 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bald Knob
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #21701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bald Knob, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,283
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,310 people
- By 2030
- 83,861 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 86,492 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,246 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 91,307 · +10.9%
- By 2100
- 91,548 · +11.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Current HPI
- 206.1058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-40.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $80,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $97,500 CARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $105,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $120,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $134,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
-14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $36 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…