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1119 Ray Rd
B- Composite 66.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1119 Ray Rd · Jacksonville, AR 72076
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1976 7,405 sqft lot Est $177k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath gem in the heart of Jacksonville! Spanning 1,392 sq. ft. , this single-story home features a modern layout with fresh updates throughout. The spacious kitchen flows into a bright living area, perfect for entertaining. Situated on a generous 0.17-acre lot in the established Smiths Replat community, you'll enjoy a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Conveniently located just minutes from the Little Rock Air Force Base, local parks, and shopping, this move-in-ready property offers the perfect blend of comfort and location.

Key facts

  • Renovated
  • Generous lot
  • Bright living area

Tags

RENOVATEDMODERN LAYOUTSPACIOUS KITCHENBRIGHT LIVING AREAPRIVATE BACKYARDGENEROUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas; Independent electric service
  • Home design: No ADU
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Other roof (see remarks)
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved road access; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Carpet, vinyl, and tile flooring; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#231 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jacksonville North Pulaski School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #211 of 238 in AR (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jacksonville High School (math 10% / reading 18%, grade F, #268 of 292 statewide, top 92%, 1,168 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $88k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,101 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.56%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,784
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1507 Pine View Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (+5%) 0mo $200,000 $137 69
1113 Stevenson Cv 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,415 (+2%) 8mo $190,000 $134 69
1117 Sorrells Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,397 (+0%) 4mo $85,000 $61 67
301 Janice St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,282 (-8%) 1mo $153,650 $120 64
813 Lehman Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $170,750 $127 62
32 Ross Cir 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (+1%) 3mo $95,000 $68 61
10 Park Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,385 (-0%) 6mo $126,000 $91 54
1017 Stevenson Cv 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,209 (-13%) 8mo $165,000 $136 52
305 Smart St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 6mo $95,000 $79 45
105 Smart St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 2mo $125,000 $104 42
202 Spruce St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,251 (-10%) 6mo $228,000 $182 42
102 Heritage St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (-12%) 8mo $172,000 $140 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-537
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$24,087
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72076

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,115/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1115 Ray Rd Jacksonville, AR 4.0 1.5 1495 $1,495 $1.00 14d 1 0.04mi
1112 Ray Rd Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 1166 $895 $0.77 43d 1 0.05mi
633 Smart St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 936 $995 $1.06 23d 1 0.26mi
1301 Liberty Dr Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,295 $1.28 14d 1 0.26mi
212 Wright Cv Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,350 $1.02 23d 1 0.33mi
1409 Southern St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 43d 1 0.35mi
131 Galloway Cir Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $895 $0.98 43d 1 0.37mi
66 Wright Cir Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1246 $1,595 $1.28 23d 1 0.39mi
950 Military Rd Jacksonville, AR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 867 $1,015 $1.17 14d 13 0.40mi
58 Wright Cir Jacksonville, AR 4.0 2.5 1468 $1,450 $0.99 14d 1 0.41mi
107 Pike Ave Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 1092 $995 $0.91 43d 1 0.42mi
609 Sorrells Dr Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 1133 $1,195 $1.05 14d 1 0.44mi
130 Joiner Ave Jacksonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,550 $1.27 21d 1 0.45mi
1501 Angie Ct Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,595 $1.23 21d 1 0.49mi
197 Roosevelt Rd Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,195 $0.92 18d 1 0.50mi
1101 Lehman Dr Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,200 $0.89 14d 1 0.52mi
708 Lehman Dr Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1075 $1,150 $1.07 14d 1 0.52mi
215 N Elm St Unit 215 Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,475 $0.92 23d 1 0.57mi
105 Victory Cir Jacksonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1157 $1,550 $1.34 43d 1 0.57mi
1811 Neely St Unit 1811 Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 996 $825 $0.83 43d 1 0.59mi
300 Redbud Ct Jacksonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1559 $1,995 $1.28 23d 1 0.60mi
302 Redbud Ct Jacksonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1559 $1,995 $1.28 23d 1 0.60mi
4 Georgeann Cir Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1479 $1,250 $0.85 14d 1 0.66mi
89 Belair Loop Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1093 $1,450 $1.33 21d 1 0.69mi
124 Karen Cv Jacksonville, AR 4.0 1.5 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.70mi
103 Overland Trl Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 960 $1,195 $1.24 18d 1 0.74mi
428 N Oak St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 996 $1,325 $1.33 43d 1 0.77mi
7 Davis Ct Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1080 $925 $0.86 43d 1 1.12mi
1516 S Bailey St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,395 $1.00 43d 1 1.15mi
1515 Stamps St Unit 1 Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,395 $0.99 43d 1 1.19mi
815 Ellis St Unit 817 Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,395 $0.90 23d 1 1.27mi
516 Hill St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,175 $0.85 43d 1 1.38mi
1024 Colonial Dr Jacksonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1640 $1,400 $0.85 23d 1 1.47mi
620 Neal St Jacksonville, AR 3.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 New Listing 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 New Listing 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 New Listing 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 New Listing 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 New Listing 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $119,900 New Listing
  18. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,208
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,115
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,297
− Management
−$1,297
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$407
After-tax cash flow
$3,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksonville North Pulaski School District
NCES district ID
0500419
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,869
Composite
17.16/100
National rank
#9110
State rank
#211 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
61/100
State rank
#231
US rank
#17378

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
38,437
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
38,437
Household income
$54,379
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
1733.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.51%
Current HPI
201.6405
Rent YoY
▲ 3.07%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $119,900 CARMLS
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,115 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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