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8516 Westchester Dr
C+ Composite 62.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,500

8516 Westchester Dr · Douglasville, GA 30134
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1987 2,757 sqft lot $113/sqft · 34% below area Est $225k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

Key facts

  • Two bedroom townhome
  • Grocery stores
  • Close to i-20

Tags

TWO BEDROOM TOWNHOMECLOSE TO I-20GROCERY STORESRESTAURANTSINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYALL ELECTRIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 293 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $150k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.48%
Cash-on-cash
7.80%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,418
List price
$149,500
Delta
-33.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6262 Melrose Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (-8%) 0mo $260,000 $214 73
8546 Adair St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-2%) 6mo $284,000 $218 61
8738 Campbellton St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (+4%) 7mo $250,000 $183 57
6253 Hospital Way 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,136 (-14%) 2mo $213,000 $188 55
8523 Duncan St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (+9%) 3mo $165,000 $114 55
6451 Katherine St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,258 (-5%) 14mo $315,000 $250 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-11,697
Equity at exit
$22,291
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-6,429
Equity at exit
$12,926

Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30134

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,665 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$784
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,364/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,321
Max offer price $149,500
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,375
Closing costs
$4,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,550 $1.63 43d 1 0.24mi
8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 947 $1,665 $1.76 3d 1 0.54mi
9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,600 $1.55 18d 1 0.84mi
8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1210 $1,395 $1.15 43d 1 0.84mi
4647 Big B Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,570 $0.98 4d 1 0.86mi
6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 978 $1,295 $1.32 2d 1 0.96mi
6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA 1.0 1.0 950 $625 $0.66 43d 1 0.98mi
8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1046 $1,295 $1.24 20d 1 1.05mi
6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,789 $1.46 16d 1 1.05mi
8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 880 $1,187 $1.35 43d 1 1.16mi
6314 New Gate Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,980 $1.07 43d 1 1.21mi
1675 Dogwood Trl Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,780 $1.22 5d 1 1.24mi
3790 Denton Dr Unit 3790 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,199 $1.22 24d 1 1.28mi
4031 Denton Dr Unit 4031 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,250 $1.25 43d 1 1.28mi
3751 Denton Dr Unit 3751 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,250 $1.25 43d 1 1.28mi
3970 Denton Dr Unit 3970 Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1805 $2,299 $1.27 16d 1 1.28mi
4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1300 $4,500 $3.46 43d 1 1.32mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 16d 1 1.42mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 21d 1 1.42mi
4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1385 $1,900 $1.37 3d 1 1.42mi
8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,510 $1.44 2d 1 1.45mi
7029 Branch Crossing Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,200 $0.90 18d 1 1.45mi
2501 Canter Ln Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1710 $2,274 $1.33 2d 8 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $149,500 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,500 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-04-28
    price $160,000 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  7. 2026-04-28
    price $160,000 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  8. 2026-03-03
    price $173,900 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  9. 2026-03-03
    price $173,900 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  10. 2026-01-15
    listed $165,000 New 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  11. 2026-01-15
    listed $165,000 Active 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.

  12. 2020-06-11
    soldstatus $77,600
  13. 2013-09-07
    price $21,000
  14. 2013-08-20
    soldstatus $25,500 Sold
  15. 2013-07-11
    status Under Contract
  16. 2013-07-10
    price $25,500
  17. 2013-06-20
    listed $21,000 New
  18. 2004-03-08
    soldstatus $70,500
  19. 1998-07-29
    soldstatus $47,900
  20. 1995-09-01
    soldstatus $33,500
  21. 1991-06-19
    soldstatus $1,200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,364 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,364 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,981
− Mortgage interest
−$8,374
− Property taxes
−$2,364
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,598
− Management
−$1,598
− Depreciation
−$4,349
Taxable income
$949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$228
After-tax cash flow
$3,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Douglasville, GA
County
Douglas County · 141,416 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,580
Household income
$76,574
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1339.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.36%
Current HPI
243.9426
Rent YoY
▬ 0.03%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-86.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $160,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $173,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $173,900 FMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $165,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,600 Public Records
  • 2013-09-07 Price Changed $21,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-08-20 Sold (MLS) $25,500 GAMLS
  • 2013-07-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-07-10 Price Changed $25,500 GAMLS
  • 2013-06-20 Listed $21,000 GAMLS
  • 2004-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
  • 1998-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
  • 1995-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
  • 1991-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,364 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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