8516 Westchester Dr · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
Key facts
- Two bedroom townhome
- Grocery stores
- Close to i-20
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 293 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $150k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.80%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,418
- List price
- $149,500
- Delta
- -33.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6262 Melrose Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (-8%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $214 | 73 |
| 8546 Adair St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 6mo | $284,000 | $218 | 61 |
| 8738 Campbellton St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+4%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $183 | 57 |
| 6253 Hospital Way | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (-14%) | 2mo | $213,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 8523 Duncan St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+9%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 6451 Katherine St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,258 (-5%) | 14mo | $315,000 | $250 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-11,697
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,429
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,665 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4647 Big B Rd Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,570 | $0.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $625 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,295 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,789 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,187 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6314 New Gate Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1675 Dogwood Trl Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,780 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3790 Denton Dr Unit 3790 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,199 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4031 Denton Dr Unit 4031 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3751 Denton Dr Unit 3751 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3970 Denton Dr Unit 3970 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,299 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,500 | $3.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,510 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7029 Branch Crossing Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2501 Canter Ln Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1710 | $2,274 | $1.33 | 2d | 8 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,500 Active 137 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $160,000 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2026-04-28price $160,000 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2026-03-03price $173,900 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2026-03-03price $173,900 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2026-01-15$165,000 New 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2026-01-15$165,000 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
No HOA! Great two bedroom townhome with tenants in place. Be close to I-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Investment opportunity! There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent. Please do not disturb the tenants. All electric. The floors and systems were installed within last 3 years.
-
2020-06-11soldstatus $77,600
-
2013-09-07price $21,000
-
2013-08-20soldstatus $25,500 Sold
-
2013-07-11status Under Contract
-
2013-07-10price $25,500
-
2013-06-20$21,000 New
-
2004-03-08soldstatus $70,500
-
1998-07-29soldstatus $47,900
-
1995-09-01soldstatus $33,500
-
1991-06-19soldstatus $1,200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,364 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,364 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,364
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable income
- $949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Douglasville, GA
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1339.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-86.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $160,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $173,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $173,900 FMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $165,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2020-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,600 Public Records
- 2013-09-07 Price Changed $21,000 GAMLS
- 2013-08-20 Sold (MLS) $25,500 GAMLS
- 2013-07-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2013-07-10 Price Changed $25,500 GAMLS
- 2013-06-20 Listed $21,000 GAMLS
- 2004-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 1998-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
- 1995-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
- 1991-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,364 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…