221 Dakota Ave · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is an investment opportunity in Franklinton! There is over 2000 sqft, with 5 bedrooms, and 3 full bathrooms. This home also includes a full basement. An investment chance like this in Franklinton won't last long!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 68 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,114/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1689% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $175k implies a 483% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.86%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $322,080
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -45.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 839 W Rich St | 0.29mi | 5/2.0 | 1,868 (-7%) | 7mo | $102,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 855 Sullivant Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,914 (-5%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $162 | 59 |
| 164 Wisconsin Ave #162 | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,910 (-5%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $63 | 35 |
| 45 N Guilford Ave | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 | 1,716 (-15%) | 6mo | $232,500 | $135 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $836
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $48,780
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43223
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$277 /mo · $3,319/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $502 | -5% $452 | +0% $403 | +5% $353 | +10% $304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $319 | +0% $403 | +5% $486 | +10% $570 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $491 | -0.5pp $447 | base $403 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $311 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Dakota Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,045 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 162 Wisconsin Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1930 | $1,900 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 63 Stevens Ave Columbus, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2437 | $2,000 | $0.82 | 9d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 137 N Guilford Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 228 Schultz Ave Unit 1407024P Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1991 | $6,208 | $3.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 228 Schultz Ave Unit 1407033P Columbus, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1991 | $5,806 | $2.92 | 9d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1964 Sullivant Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,650 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$219,900 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
This is an investment opportunity in Franklinton! There is over 2000 sqft, with 5 bedrooms, and 3 full bathrooms. This home also includes a full basement. An investment chance like this in Franklinton won't last long!
-
1998-09-07historical
-
1997-12-09$29,900
-
1988-03-04soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,319 · $277/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,319 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,319
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$533
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,187
- Household income
- $46,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1689.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.33%
- Current HPI
- 211.6742
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+633.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $219,900 CBRMLS
- 1998-09-07 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-12-09 Listed $29,900 CBRMLS
- 1988-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2024): $3,319 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…