201 Young St · Brewton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 201 Young St in Brewton, AL! This home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize a property to their taste. Featuring a functional layout and situated on a generous lot, this home has plenty of potential with some updates and repairs. Located close to local amenities, shopping, and schools, it’s a great option for both homeowners and investors. Don’t miss the chance to turn this into your Next Home! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Shopping
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.8% in Brewton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#185 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Brewton City (town): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.75%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,260
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710 Alco Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,826 (+6%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $70 | 70 |
| 108 Lakeview Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-7%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $38 | 65 |
| 114 Dawson St | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,740 (+1%) | 15mo | $95,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 106 Cottage Hill Dr | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,582 (-8%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $70 | 55 |
| 301 Woodland Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (+11%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $66 | 45 |
| 111 Fleming Ln | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,606 (-6%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $249 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $25,866
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $70,491
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36426
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $584
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Anton Ln Brewton, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 13 Anton Ln Brewton, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-03$70,000 Active
-
2019-05-08historical
-
2019-04-30$79,900
-
2019-04-30$79,900
-
2018-12-04soldstatus $69,900
-
2018-12-04soldstatus $69,900
-
2017-08-10$69,900
-
2017-08-09$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,036
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,503
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brewton City
- NCES district ID
- 0100450
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,994
- Composite
- 37.12/100
- National rank
- #4492
- State rank
- #20 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brewton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #185
- US rank
- #15452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brewton, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,049
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,683 people
- By 2030
- 35,844 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 34,393 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 33,109 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,305 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 21,091 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.44%
- Current HPI
- 294.97
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-03 Listed $70,000 BCAR
- 2019-05-08 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2019-04-30 Listed $79,900 BCAR
- 2019-04-30 Listed $79,900 PARMLS
- 2018-12-04 Sold (MLS) $69,900 BCAR
- 2018-12-04 Sold (MLS) $69,900 PARMLS
- 2017-08-10 Listed $69,900 BCAR
- 2017-08-09 Listed $69,900 PARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…