1557 Basil St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCTION!!! Welcome to your newly updated home offering the perfect blend of character, comfort, and opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been fully updated with fresh paint and new flooring. The spacious bedrooms offer plenty of natural light. Outside, you'll find a nice backyard with endless potential. Located in a quiet, established neighborhood close to schools, shopping, and a park. Property is "sold as is and where is", with no warranties expressed or implied. Seller is related to listing agent. Buyer and/or Buyer’s agent to verify all pertinent information.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- New flooring
- Nice backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Electricity available (110 volts); Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Residential single family home
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1947
- Exterior features: No exterior features listed; No fencing; View present
Interior
- Kitchen: No special kitchen features listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 0 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; Tankless water heater; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $952 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Florence Howard Elementary School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 488 students, 94% FRL); John L Leflore Magnet School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 618 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 67% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.87%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,437
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1557 Basil St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,147 (0%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $92 | 96 |
| 353 Robbins St | 0.13mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-2%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $71 | 81 |
| 315 Oak Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (-1%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $57 | 53 |
| 565 Cedar Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-10%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $34 | 51 |
| 1105 Adams St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-4%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $50 | 48 |
| 1863 St Stephens Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,157 (+1%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $69 | 46 |
| 284 Magnolia Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (+10%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 1363 St Stephens Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+11%) | 21mo | $121,000 | $95 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $64,248
- Equity at exit
- $37,612
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $155,710
- Equity at exit
- $51,380
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36603
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,995 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $354/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $952
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Indian Creek Dr E Unit 1043809P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,985 | $2.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1254 Old Shell Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $975 | $1.48 | 14d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 57 N Ann St Unit 1043453P Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $2,015 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1566 Dauphin St Unit Back Carriage House Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 129 Shell Road Pl Unit 1043713P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,389 | $2.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 510 Schwartz St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 402 Havens St Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 186 Stanton Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1263 | $2,450 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1704 McGill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 111 S Catherine St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $899 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1141 Montauk Ave Unit 1043864P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,741 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 423 Devon Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $950 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 84 S Lafayette St Unit 1043577P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,116 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 122 Demouy Ave Unit 1/2 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,530 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1417 Monroe St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-04-29historical
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-03-10price $105,000
-
2026-01-31price $110,000
-
2025-12-12price $120,000
-
2025-10-30$128,000 Active
-
2024-06-22price $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $354 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$76/yr (+$6/mo · 21.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$354
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $10,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,471
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- City population
- 205,729
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,805
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 12% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.32%
- Current HPI
- 48.9551
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+133.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-29 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-12 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $105,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $110,000 GCMLS AL
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $120,000 GCMLS AL
- 2025-10-30 Listed $128,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-06-22 Price Changed $45,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $354 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…