Plan 2509 Plan · Arcola, TX 77583

$296,995

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,509 sqft · SingleFamily · 566 Days on market

Excellent condition ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.6/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

Key facts

• Low-e windows
• 2 garage spots
• Listed 565 days

Tags

• GRANITE KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS
• TANKLESS WATER HEATER
• LOW-E WINDOWS
• KITCHEN USB CHARGING PORT
• WATERSENSE® LABELED FAUCETS
• MASTER-PLANNED COMMUNITY

🏗️ New construction. The $296,995 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $297,851.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $297k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (1.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $261k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.0% in Arcola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#1,425 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1147 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 566 days — a 12% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $261,355 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 566 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.62%
• DSCR: 1.16
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $297,851
• List price: $296,995
• Delta: -0.29%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6915 Sunnyvale Ln	0.08mi	4/3.5	2,501 (-0%)	2mo	$295,000	$118	90
1135 Manteca Dr	0.03mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,423 (-3%)	16mo	$369,900	$153	72
802 Pismo Ln	0.53mi	4/3.5	2,495 (-1%)	8mo	$339,900	$136	64
818 Pismo Ln	0.55mi	4/3.5	2,508 (-0%)	12mo	$319,900	$128	60
7714 Cattleman Valley Dr	0.72mi	4/2.5	2,561 (+2%)	8mo	$329,900	$129	56
939 Cloverdale Dr	0.59mi	4/2.5	2,405 (-4%)	17mo	$329,000	$137	52
203 Murrieta Ln	0.10mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,826 (+13%)	16mo	$336,000	$119	52
507 Marley Oak Dr	0.70mi	4/3.0	2,261 (-10%)	2mo	$319,900	$141	48
6406 Downey Ln	0.70mi	4/3.5	2,400 (-4%)	16mo	$379,900	$158	43
207 William Ln	0.74mi	4/3.0	2,214 (-12%)	2mo	$325,000	$147	42
918 Pismo Ln	0.62mi	4/3.5	2,880 (+15%)	6mo	$350,000	$122	38
6414 Downey Ln	0.70mi	4/3.5	2,154 (-14%)	11mo	$369,900	$172	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.53×
• Total profit: $-39,527
• Equity at exit: $44,411

10-year hold

• IRR: -9.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-42,221
• Equity at exit: $25,753

Cash invested: $83,398 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77583

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 1147
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,924 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,562
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$372 /mo · $4,468/yr
• Insurance: −$124
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$614
• Net cashflow: $252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,606

Max offer price $297,851

Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $458	-5% $355	+0% $252	+5% $149	+10% $46
Rent	-10% $21	-5% $136	+0% $252	+5% $367	+10% $483
Rate	-1.0pp $402	-0.5pp $328	base $252	+0.5pp $175	+1.0pp $96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,463
• Closing costs: $8,936
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7711 Sleek Flock Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	3.0	2492	$2,850	$1.14	25d	1	0.81mi
7218 Bakersfield Ct Rosharon, TX	3.0	2.5	2004	$2,200	$1.10	45d	1	0.84mi
6927 Ventura Dr Rosharon, TX	5.0	4.0	2771	$3,300	$1.19	45d	1	0.96mi
8210 Radial Ct Rosharon, TX	5.0	2.5	2506	$2,550	$1.02	45d	1	1.27mi
8310 Rose Petals Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.0	1833	$2,300	$1.25	45d	1	1.33mi
8043 House Bank Ln Rosharon, TX	4.0	3.0	2512	$2,550	$1.02	20d	1	1.35mi
318 Manor Ave Rosharon, TX	3.0	3.0	1924	$2,400	$1.25	45d	1	1.38mi
8414 Aster Glen Way Rosharon, TX	4.0	2.5	2588	$2,650	$1.02	45d	1	1.41mi

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $296,995 Active 566 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $296,995 Active 563 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $296,995 Active 562 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $296,995 Active 561 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $296,995 Active 560 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $296,995 Active 558 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $296,995 Active 554 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $296,995 Active 552 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $296,995 Active 549 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $296,995 Active 548 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $296,995 Active 547 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $296,995 Active 546 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $296,995 Active 545 DOM
14. 2026-03-07
    price $296,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

15. 2025-12-17
    price $294,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

16. 2025-12-16
    price $304,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

17. 2025-12-16
    price $294,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

18. 2025-11-18
    price $304,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

19. 2025-10-09
    price $298,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

20. 2025-07-28
    price $307,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

21. 2025-07-22
    price $306,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

22. 2025-07-13
    price $305,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

23. 2025-06-29
    price $304,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

24. 2025-06-14
    price $303,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

25. 2025-04-19
    price $302,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

26. 2025-04-07
    price $300,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

27. 2025-03-22
    price $298,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

28. 2025-03-08
    price $296,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

29. 2025-02-24
    price $294,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

30. 2025-02-06
    price $292,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

31. 2025-01-29
    price $289,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

32. 2025-01-21
    price $287,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

33. 2025-01-02
    status Active 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

34. 2025-01-02
    price $286,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

35. 2024-12-03
    historical 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

36. 2024-11-12
    price $296,995 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

37. 2024-11-01
    listed $306,995 Active 430-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    * Granite kitchen countertops * Dedicated laundry room * Smart thermostat * Walk-in kitchen pantry * Gas range * Low-E windows * 6-panel interior doors * Kitchen USB charging port * Downstairs primary suite * Spacious great room * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Master-planned community * Swimming pool * Playground * Close to golf courses * Pond * Clubhouse

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $35,092
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,684
• − Property taxes: −$4,468
• − Insurance: −$1,489
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,807
• − Management: −$2,807
• − Depreciation: −$8,665
• Taxable loss: −$1,829
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$439
• After-tax cash flow: $3,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
• Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves aesthetics and adds value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
• Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves aesthetics and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Arcola

• Score: 53/100
• State rank: #1425
• US rank: #24358

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brazoria County · 374,982 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,747
• Household income: $119,287
• Rent vs Own: 9.8% rent · 90.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 251.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -120.19%
• Current HPI: 198.6559
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-3.3% since first listed

24 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-07 Price Changed $296,995 Zillow
• 2025-12-17 Price Changed $294,995 Zillow
• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $304,995 Zillow
• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $294,995 Zillow
• 2025-11-18 Price Changed $304,995 Zillow
• 2025-10-09 Price Changed $298,995 Zillow
• 2025-07-28 Price Changed $307,995 Zillow
• 2025-07-22 Price Changed $306,995 Zillow
• 2025-07-13 Price Changed $305,995 Zillow
• 2025-06-29 Price Changed $304,995 Zillow
• 2025-06-14 Price Changed $303,995 Zillow
• 2025-04-19 Price Changed $302,995 Zillow
• 2025-04-07 Price Changed $300,995 Zillow
• 2025-03-22 Price Changed $298,995 Zillow
• 2025-03-08 Price Changed $296,995 Zillow
• 2025-02-24 Price Changed $294,995 Zillow
• 2025-02-06 Price Changed $292,995 Zillow
• 2025-01-29 Price Changed $289,995 Zillow
• 2025-01-21 Price Changed $287,995 Zillow
• 2025-01-02 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-01-02 Price Changed $286,995 Zillow
• 2024-12-03 Delisted — Zillow
• 2024-11-12 Price Changed $296,995 Zillow
• 2024-11-01 Listed $306,995 Zillow