7 Padanaram Rd Unit B23 · Danbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath condo. Step into the well-appointed kitchen, complete with a refrigerator, microwave, dishwasher, and electric stove, making meal preparation a breeze. The open layout of the living area provides a spacious and inviting atmosphere, perfect for entertaining guests or simply relaxing after a long day. The bedroom offers a peaceful retreat, allowing you to unwind and recharge. Located in a desirable area, this condo is surrounded by a variety of amenities and attractions, ensuring that you'll never be far from entertainment, shopping, and dining options. With its convenient location and essential amenities, this 2 bedroom unit is the perfect place to be home. Don't miss
Key facts
- $275 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed per HOA rules
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee includes tennis, trash pickup, snow removal, property management, and pool service; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Paved off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service for heat and hot water
- Home design: Condominium in a community complex (Brookside); End unit
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Deck; In-ground concrete swimming pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Wall unit cooling; 40-gallon electric hot water tank
- Interior features: Coin-operated and common laundry area; Wall air-conditioning unit; Total of 4 rooms; 3-level unit; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Coin-operated laundry; Common laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($42/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $114k; list at $225k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-36,087
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-30,528
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06811
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,213 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $131 | -5% $67 | +0% $4 | +5% $-60 | +10% $-124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-171 | -5% $-84 | +0% $4 | +5% $91 | +10% $178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $117 | -0.5pp $61 | base $4 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Padanaram Rd Unit C53 Danbury, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $2,150 | $2.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 7 Padanaram Rd Unit J243 Danbury, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $1,700 | $2.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2 Jeanette Rd #43 Danbury, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $2,300 | $3.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2 Jeanette St Unit 67 Danbury, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,850 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 20 Cornell Rd Danbury, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,600 | $3.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10 Clapboard Ridge Rd Danbury, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1061 | $2,757 | $2.60 | 4d | 20 | 0.86mi |
| 10 Balmforth Ave Unit 11 Danbury, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,700 | $2.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8 Rose St Unit 20-1 Danbury, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $2,000 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 333 Main St Danbury, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,650 | $3.05 | 5d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 35 9th Ave Unit 1R Danbury, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,100 | $3.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 53 Sand Pit Rd Danbury, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1131 | $2,572 | $2.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1 Kennedy Ave Danbury, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $2,720 | $3.11 | 4d | 31 | 1.40mi |
| 15 Bates Pl Unit 11A Danbury, CT | 1.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $2,020 | $2.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$225,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,350 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,582 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,232/yr (+$103/mo · 52.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,620
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,793
- Composite
- 23.93/100
- National rank
- #7784
- State rank
- #131 of 153 in CT
Livability — Danbury
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danbury, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 87,061
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,228
- Household income
- $104,640
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 551.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 4% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -361.68%
- Current HPI
- 258.6639
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+259.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,675 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2023): $2,350 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…