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5001 W Florida #588
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,000

5001 W Florida #588 · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · Manufactured public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1984 $53/sqft · 38% above area Est $70k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious triple-wide manufactured home offering approximately 1,824 sq ft in the desirable 55+ gated community of The Lakes at Hemet West. One of the larger homes in the community, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence features vaulted ceilings, expansive living areas, and a functional layout ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. The kitchen includes a center island with bar seating, double oven, gas cooktop, and ample cabinetry, opening to generous dining and living spaces. The primary suite features a double sink vanity along with a separate tub and shower, providing a spacious and practical layout. A laundry room is located as you enter the side of the home. Situated toward the perim

Key facts

  • Gas cooktop
  • Double oven
  • Double sink vanity

Tags

TRIPLE-WIDE MANUFACTURED HOMECENTER ISLAND WITH BAR SEATINGDOUBLE OVENGAS COOKTOPSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMDOUBLE SINK VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot density: 0-1 unit per acre; Elevation measured in feet; Manager approval required for sale
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease approximately $1,043 (seller-provided)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease community

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in The Lakes park
  • Security: Gated with attendant
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Custom Golden model; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 34 ft wide by 160 ft long; Year built reported by seller
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Park in the community

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gated community with attendant; Single-level home; Side entry
  • Laundry & utility: Private laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,090 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
21.67%
Cash-on-cash
54.93%
DSCR
3.44
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,449
List price
$97,000
Delta
37.69%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5001 W Florida #161 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,850 (+1%) 5mo $107,777 $58 93
5001 W Florida Ave #389 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,840 (+1%) 11mo $81,000 $44 89
5001 W Florida Ave #368 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (+5%) 8mo $89,900 $47 79
5001 W Florida Ave #339 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,920 (+5%) 14mo $54,900 $29 79
5001 W Florida #463 0.00mi 2/2.0 2,052 (+12%) 0mo $103,000 $50 79
5001 W Florida Ave #400 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,660 (-9%) 8mo $85,000 $51 78
5001 W Florida Ave #423 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,760 (-4%) 24mo $44,900 $26 74
5001 W Florida Ave #139 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,560 (-14%) 5mo $105,000 $67 71
5001 W Florida Ave #16 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,560 (-14%) 12mo $67,000 $43 62
5001 W Florida Ave #484 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (-14%) 12mo $139,000 $89 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$65,170
Equity at exit
$14,463
10-year hold
IRR
59.4%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$165,815
Equity at exit
$8,387

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $333/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$1,243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $730
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,298 -5% $1,271 +0% $1,243 +5% $1,216 +10% $1,188
Rent -10% $1,061 -5% $1,152 +0% $1,243 +5% $1,334 +10% $1,425
Rate -1.0pp $1,292 -0.5pp $1,268 base $1,243 +0.5pp $1,218 +1.0pp $1,193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,800 $1.37 44d 1 0.54mi
828 Greenwich Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 3.0 1977 $2,700 $1.37 19d 1 1.27mi
2971 Pembroke Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1572 $3,000 $1.91 19d 1 1.29mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 5d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $97,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $97,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $97,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $97,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-04-26
    listed $97,000 Active 1216-char remark
  16. 2025-11-10
    historical
  17. 2025-11-05
    status Active
  18. 2025-10-21
    status Pending Sale
  19. 2025-08-20
    listed $59,900 Active
  20. 2025-05-13
    price $59,900
  21. 2025-04-10
    price $74,900
  22. 2025-03-25
    price $85,000
  23. 2025-02-25
    listed $99,500 Active
  24. 2006-10-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  25. 2006-06-15
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$333 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$737 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$404/yr (+$34/mo · 121.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥105°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,647
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$333
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$14,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,396
After-tax cash flow
$11,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $97,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Pending CRMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $59,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $74,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-25 Price Changed $85,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-02-25 Listed $99,500 CRMLS
  • 2006-10-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-06-15 Listed $79,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $333 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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