956 Main St · Moravia, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity is knocking! Not a drive by! If you have vision this may be the one! 3 bedroom 1 full bath, 2 and a half story late Victorian era home with separate 2 car garage in the heart of Locke. Updates include an updated electrical service and panel box with 200 amp service as well as new front porch and steps and most interior windows replaced. House is full of gorgeous features including stained glass windows, original woodwork including doors, moldings and floors! Walk in through the formal front entry into the spacious living room which looks straight through into the vintage kitchen. Living room has French doors leading into an enclosed 3 season room. Dining room is also off the living room with gorgeous columns and a lovely window seat complete with storage space below. Upstairs you find 3 spacious bedrooms with a large full bathroom with an enclosed sleeping porch as well. Decent sized unfinished storage room that had damage from the leaking chimney before it was repaired. Next up to the amazing attic which is waiting for the right person to make it the spectacular space it’s meant to be! Use your imagination! * * * Property conveys as is. * * *
Key facts
- New front porch
- Window seat
- Original woodwork
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.7% in Moravia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#357 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Moravia Central School District (rural): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #391 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $145k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.24%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,593
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -23.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4665 W Cayuga St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (-3%) | 24mo | $152,600 | $110 | 69 |
| 12228 Water St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (+6%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 868 Main St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,468 (+3%) | 20mo | $150,000 | $102 | 57 |
| 4688 Maple Ave | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,585 (+11%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $107 | 54 |
| 903 Main St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+14%) | 19mo | $169,900 | $104 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $43,737
- Equity at exit
- $81,111
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $122,917
- Equity at exit
- $139,166
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13092
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $144,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $144,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-12price $144,900 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Opportunity is knocking! Not a drive by! If you have vision this may be the one! 3 bedroom 1 full bath, 2 and a half story late Victorian era home with separate 2 car garage in the heart of Locke. Updates include an updated electrical service and panel box with 200 amp service as well as new front porch and steps and most interior windows replaced. House is full of gorgeous features including stained glass windows, original woodwork including doors, moldings and floors! Walk in through the formal front entry into the spacious living room which looks straight through into the vintage kitchen. Living room has French doors leading into an enclosed 3 season room. Dining room is also off the living room with gorgeous columns and a lovely window seat complete with storage space below. Upstairs you find 3 spacious bedrooms with a large full bathroom with an enclosed sleeping porch as well. Decent sized unfinished storage room that had damage from the leaking chimney before it was repaired. Next up to the amazing attic which is waiting for the right person to make it the spectacular space it’s meant to be! Use your imagination! * * * Property conveys as is. * * *
-
2026-02-12$149,900 Active 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Opportunity is knocking! Not a drive by! If you have vision this may be the one! 3 bedroom 1 full bath, 2 and a half story late Victorian era home with separate 2 car garage in the heart of Locke. Updates include an updated electrical service and panel box with 200 amp service as well as new front porch and steps and most interior windows replaced. House is full of gorgeous features including stained glass windows, original woodwork including doors, moldings and floors! Walk in through the formal front entry into the spacious living room which looks straight through into the vintage kitchen. Living room has French doors leading into an enclosed 3 season room. Dining room is also off the living room with gorgeous columns and a lovely window seat complete with storage space below. Upstairs you find 3 spacious bedrooms with a large full bathroom with an enclosed sleeping porch as well. Decent sized unfinished storage room that had damage from the leaking chimney before it was repaired. Next up to the amazing attic which is waiting for the right person to make it the spectacular space it’s meant to be! Use your imagination! * * * Property conveys as is. * * *
-
2017-11-03soldstatus $50,900
-
2017-11-02soldstatus $50,900 Closed Sale or Rented 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Opportunity knocks!! NOT A DRIVE BY!! Great chance to own a spectacular home filled w/ wonderful natural woodwork & delightful accents or a great flip!! Needs work but definately doable!! $4000.CREDIT AT CLOSING TOWARDS PAINT & REPAIRS! Downstairs has large living room, kitchen & dining room. Formal entrance w/ foyer closet! Enclosed heated 3 season porch w/ french glass doors! Hardwood floors. Upstairs 3 + bedrooms, 1 full bath w/ private sun porch ! Huge attic just waiting for your imagination! Could be fabulous master suite, game room or just great storage! Great back yard w/ 2 car garage!! Call today!! Motivated seller!!
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2017-11-02soldstatus $50,900
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Opportunity knocks!! NOT A DRIVE BY!! Great chance to own a spectacular home filled w/ wonderful natural woodwork & delightful accents or a great flip!! Needs work but definately doable!! $4000.CREDIT AT CLOSING TOWARDS PAINT & REPAIRS! Downstairs has large living room, kitchen & dining room. Formal entrance w/ foyer closet! Enclosed heated 3 season porch w/ french glass doors! Hardwood floors. Upstairs 3 + bedrooms, 1 full bath w/ private sun porch ! Huge attic just waiting for your imagination! Could be fabulous master suite, game room or just great storage! Great back yard w/ 2 car garage!! Call today!! Motivated seller!!
-
2017-09-06status Pending Sale 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Opportunity knocks!! NOT A DRIVE BY!! Great chance to own a spectacular home filled w/ wonderful natural woodwork & delightful accents or a great flip!! Needs work but definately doable!! $4000.CREDIT AT CLOSING TOWARDS PAINT & REPAIRS! Downstairs has large living room, kitchen & dining room. Formal entrance w/ foyer closet! Enclosed heated 3 season porch w/ french glass doors! Hardwood floors. Upstairs 3 + bedrooms, 1 full bath w/ private sun porch ! Huge attic just waiting for your imagination! Could be fabulous master suite, game room or just great storage! Great back yard w/ 2 car garage!! Call today!! Motivated seller!!
-
2017-08-14historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Opportunity knocks!! NOT A DRIVE BY!! Great chance to own a spectacular home filled w/ wonderful natural woodwork & delightful accents or a great flip!! Needs work but definately doable!! $4000.CREDIT AT CLOSING TOWARDS PAINT & REPAIRS! Downstairs has large living room, kitchen & dining room. Formal entrance w/ foyer closet! Enclosed heated 3 season porch w/ french glass doors! Hardwood floors. Upstairs 3 + bedrooms, 1 full bath w/ private sun porch ! Huge attic just waiting for your imagination! Could be fabulous master suite, game room or just great storage! Great back yard w/ 2 car garage!! Call today!! Motivated seller!!
-
2017-08-02$54,900 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Opportunity knocks!! NOT A DRIVE BY!! Great chance to own a spectacular home filled w/ wonderful natural woodwork & delightful accents or a great flip!! Needs work but definately doable!! $4000.CREDIT AT CLOSING TOWARDS PAINT & REPAIRS! Downstairs has large living room, kitchen & dining room. Formal entrance w/ foyer closet! Enclosed heated 3 season porch w/ french glass doors! Hardwood floors. Upstairs 3 + bedrooms, 1 full bath w/ private sun porch ! Huge attic just waiting for your imagination! Could be fabulous master suite, game room or just great storage! Great back yard w/ 2 car garage!! Call today!! Motivated seller!!
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2017-08-01$54,900
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1992-10-27soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,574 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,011 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$438/yr (+$36/mo · 27.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$229
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$55
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moravia Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619800
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,991
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3215
- State rank
- #391 of 590 in NY
Livability — Moravia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #357
- US rank
- #6025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,707
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Current HPI
- 368.6695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+178.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $144,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,900 Public Records
- 2017-11-02 Sold (MLS) $50,900 IBRMLS
- 2017-11-02 Sold (MLS) $50,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-09-06 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-08-14 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2017-08-02 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-08-01 Listed $54,900 IBRMLS
- 1992-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,574 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…