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1121 Linwood Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1121 Linwood Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,936 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1902 3,900 sqft lot $52/sqft · 34% below area Est $151k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

This side-by-side two-unit property offers strong potential for investors and owner-occupants alike. Each unit features both upper and lower living spaces, along with separate basements, providing flexible layouts and added storage. Ideal for a fix-and-flip project, income-producing rental, or live-in investment opportunity. Utilities are separately metered for gas and electricity, enhancing efficiency and tenant convenience. Recent updates include refreshed flooring and modern fixtures, and vinyl windows. The property also features a fully fenced yard, along with inviting front and rear porches that add character and outdoor living space. A detached garage, accessible via the rear alley, p

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Separate basements
  • Refreshed flooring

Tags

UPPER AND LOWER LIVING SPACESSEPARATE BASEMENTSREFRESHED FLOORINGMODERN FIXTURESVINYL WINDOWSFULLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property contains 2 total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Owner pays trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include professional management, trash and water/sewer (per seller information)

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage plus on-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family property; Resale condition; Shingle roof; Wood siding
  • Construction: Built (existing); Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bathroom in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet, laminate, vinyl and varied flooring throughout; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$151,301) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harry F Abate Elementary School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,909 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 695 students, 82% FRL); Gaskill Preparatory School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #702 of 729 statewide, top 96%, 500 students, 78% FRL); Niagara Falls High School (math 75% / reading 92%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,139 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,463/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $100k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.64%
Cash-on-cash
54.81%
DSCR
3.44
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,301
List price
$99,900
Delta
-33.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
814 Willow Ave 0.29mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,072 (+7%) 2mo $140,000 $68 68
1811 Weston Ave 0.46mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,998 (+3%) 6mo $140,000 $70 59
1514 Whitney Ave 0.28mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,824 (-6%) 19mo $55,000 $30 56
769 19th St 0.65mi 6/2.5 1,920 (-1%) 16mo $150,000 $78 53
1335 Linwood Ave 0.13mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,212 (+14%) 15mo $90,000 $41 52
1635 South Ave 0.38mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,208 (+14%) 2mo $85,000 $38 52
2133 North Ave 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,048 (+6%) 9mo $170,000 $83 48
2225 Whitney Ave 0.68mi 6/2.0 2,200 (+14%) 3mo $125,000 $57 43
1402 Walnut Ave 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,033 (+5%) 21mo $135,000 $66 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$65,213
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
58.3%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$161,669
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,463 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,231/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$517
Net cashflow
$1,278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $846
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,334 -5% $1,306 +0% $1,278 +5% $1,249 +10% $1,221
Rent -10% $1,083 -5% $1,180 +0% $1,278 +5% $1,375 +10% $1,472
Rate -1.0pp $1,328 -0.5pp $1,303 base $1,278 +0.5pp $1,252 +1.0pp $1,225

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,463

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $99,900 Active 972-char remark
  17. 2023-10-13
    historical
  18. 2023-07-16
    listed $69,900 Active
  19. 2023-02-19
    historical
  20. 2023-01-06
    price $69,900
  21. 2022-11-19
    listed $74,900 Active
  22. 2022-11-17
    historical
  23. 2022-08-19
    listed $69,900 Active
  24. 2022-08-15
    historical
  25. 2022-06-06
    price $89,900
  26. 2022-05-17
    listed $99,900 Active
  27. 2021-09-24
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  28. 2021-08-30
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  29. 2021-08-16
    price $55,000
  30. 2021-07-25
    price $60,000
  31. 2021-07-25
    listed $50,000 Active
  32. 2018-03-14
    soldstatus $31,000
  33. 2018-03-14
    soldstatus $38,500
  34. 2016-12-01
    soldstatus $12,500 Closed Sale or Rented
  35. 2016-11-17
    soldstatus $12,500
  36. 2016-10-17
    status Pending Sale
  37. 2016-10-12
    historical
  38. 2016-09-13
    listed $12,500 Active
  39. 2016-08-24
    historical
  40. 2016-08-02
    price $22,800
  41. 2016-07-05
    price $22,900
  42. 2016-06-28
    listed $24,700 Active
  43. 2016-06-03
    historical
  44. 2016-05-16
    price $24,700
  45. 2016-04-06
    price $24,800
  46. 2016-03-02
    listed $24,900 Active
  47. 2016-02-29
    historical
  48. 2016-02-06
    price $24,900
  49. 2016-01-12
    listed $34,900 Active
  50. 2014-12-11
    listed $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,459 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 18.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,556
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,231
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,364
− Management
−$2,364
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$14,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,503
After-tax cash flow
$11,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+256.8% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-10-13 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-16 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-02-19 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-01-06 Price Changed $69,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-19 Listed $74,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-17 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-19 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-15 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-06-06 Price Changed $89,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-05-17 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-09-24 Sold (MLS) $50,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-30 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-16 Price Changed $55,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-07-25 Price Changed $60,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-07-25 Listed $50,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
  • 2018-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-01 Sold (MLS) $12,500 WNYREIS
  • 2016-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
  • 2016-10-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-10-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-09-13 Listed $12,500 WNYREIS
  • 2016-08-24 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-08-02 Price Changed $22,800 WNYREIS
  • 2016-07-05 Price Changed $22,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-06-28 Listed $24,700 WNYREIS
  • 2016-06-03 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-16 Price Changed $24,700 WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-06 Price Changed $24,800 WNYREIS
  • 2016-03-02 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-02-29 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-02-06 Price Changed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-01-12 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
  • 2014-12-11 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-07-16 Listed $38,000 WNYREIS
  • 2012-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,231 · +40.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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