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1015 Harold St
B- Composite 67.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

1015 Harold St · Cassville, MO 65625
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,534 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1920 10,454 sqft lot $78/sqft · 16% below area Est $166k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This freshly updated home has a lot to offer! The updates include: brand new metal roofs on both the house and the garage, new luxury vinyl waterproof floors, a new HVAC system with 95% efficiency, new doors, 100% new Pex plumbing and a nice new deck to entertain guests on. This home is on city utilities with natural gas and does have Gobec fiber internet already set up. This home also features a detached 24x24 garage with over 20 electrical plugs and its own dedicated meter loop. Possible Owner financing available.

Key facts

  • New pex plumbing
  • Metal roofs
  • New deck

Tags

METAL ROOFSLUXURY VINYL WATERPROOF FLOORSHVAC SYSTEMNEW PEX PLUMBINGNEW DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (17.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.6% in Cassville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#243 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Cassville R-IV (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #157 of 324 in MO (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,986 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.08%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,518
List price
$119,000
Delta
-28.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1205 Harold St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,684 (+10%) 10mo $160,000 $95 69
300 Crystal View Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,446 (-6%) 1mo $149,500 $103 65
902 Wildwood Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,527 (-0%) 9mo $220,000 $144 62
1101 Presley Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,624 (+6%) 10mo $159,900 $98 62
601 7th St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-8%) 17mo $139,000 $98 50
146 Sunset Hts 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,346 (-12%) 15mo $160,000 $119 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.3%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-26,640
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-32,063
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65625

Home prices YoY
-6.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $564/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$-119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,452
Max offer price $97,986
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $119,000 Pending 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $119,000 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    This freshly updated home has a lot to offer! The updates include: brand new metal roofs on both the house and the garage, new luxury vinyl waterproof floors, a new HVAC system with 95% efficiency, new doors, 100% new Pex plumbing and a nice new deck to entertain guests on. This home is on city utilities with natural gas and does have Gobec fiber internet already set up. This home also features a detached 24x24 garage with over 20 electrical plugs and its own dedicated meter loop. Possible Owner financing available.

  17. 2026-04-13
    price $139,900 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    This freshly updated home has a lot to offer! The updates include: brand new metal roofs on both the house and the garage, new luxury vinyl waterproof floors, a new HVAC system with 95% efficiency, new doors, 100% new Pex plumbing and a nice new deck to entertain guests on. This home is on city utilities with natural gas and does have Gobec fiber internet already set up. This home also features a detached 24x24 garage with over 20 electrical plugs and its own dedicated meter loop. Possible Owner financing available.

  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $144,900 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    This freshly updated home has a lot to offer! The updates include: brand new metal roofs on both the house and the garage, new luxury vinyl waterproof floors, a new HVAC system with 95% efficiency, new doors, 100% new Pex plumbing and a nice new deck to entertain guests on. This home is on city utilities with natural gas and does have Gobec fiber internet already set up. This home also features a detached 24x24 garage with over 20 electrical plugs and its own dedicated meter loop. Possible Owner financing available.

  19. 2024-04-11
    soldstatus Closed 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Are you looking for a fixer upper or investment property? This one is for you! Tons of opportunity to make this a great rental or your next home! 4 bed, 1 bath with almost 1800 sq ft! Calling all investors! Come check this one out!

  20. 2024-04-11
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Are you looking for a fixer upper or investment property? This one is for you! Tons of opportunity to make this a great rental or your next home! 4 bed, 1 bath with almost 1800 sq ft! Calling all investors! Come check this one out!

  21. 2024-03-29
    status Pending 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Are you looking for a fixer upper or investment property? This one is for you! Tons of opportunity to make this a great rental or your next home! 4 bed, 1 bath with almost 1800 sq ft! Calling all investors! Come check this one out!

  22. 2024-03-28
    listed $45,900 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Are you looking for a fixer upper or investment property? This one is for you! Tons of opportunity to make this a great rental or your next home! 4 bed, 1 bath with almost 1800 sq ft! Calling all investors! Come check this one out!

  23. 2021-02-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$564 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,154 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$590/yr (+$49/mo · 104.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,618
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$564
− Insurance
−$5,714
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,249
− Management
−$1,249
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$3,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$789
After-tax cash flow
$-639/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cassville R-IV
NCES district ID
2908170
Math proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,738
Composite
33.36/100
National rank
#5484
State rank
#157 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cassville

Score
66/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#11916

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cassville, MO
Population (ZIP)
7,186

Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,207 people
By 2030
34,460 · -2.1%
By 2040
32,643 · -7.3%
By 2050
30,688 · -12.8%
By 2075
26,898 · -23.6%
By 2100
22,000 · -37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Barry

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.8% · R 81.3%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.59%
Current HPI
225.8478
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $119,000 SOMO
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $139,900 SOMO
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $144,900 SOMO
  • 2024-04-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-04-11 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2024-03-29 Pending SOMO
  • 2024-03-28 Listed $45,900 SOMO
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $564 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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