🏗️ New Construction
Hanna Plan · Newark, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$326,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Hanna is a thoughtfully designed two-story home offering approximately 2,087 sq. ft. of living space with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a game room, and a 2-car garage. A welcoming front porch opens into a defined foyer that leads into an open-concept layout where the kitchen, dining room, and family room come together in one bright, connected living space ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, generous counter space, a centrally located island, and a walk-in pantry for added storage. The adjacent dining room flows seamlessly into the family room and provides access to the covered rear patio for easy indoor-outdoor living.
Key facts
- Defined foyer
- Open-concept layout
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $327k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-460 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (10.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (21.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $256k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,448 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Seven Hills El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 667 students, 48% FRL); Chisholm Trail Middle (math 39% / reading 35%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 684 students, 51% FRL); Northwest H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,264 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.49%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,592
- List price
- $326,990
- Delta
- -8.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183 Summer Rain Way | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,102 (+1%) | 6mo | $395,000 | $188 | 61 |
| 175 Summer Rain Way | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,281 (+9%) | 3mo | $393,000 | $172 | 49 |
| 967 Halbert Dr | 1.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,944 (-7%) | 11mo | $349,900 | $180 | 38 |
| 304 Fm 718 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-18%) | 13mo | $274,900 | $161 | 32 |
| 518 Berke St | 0.95mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,701 (-18%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $205 | 31 |
| 529 Berke St | 0.91mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,706 (-18%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $205 | 30 |
| 514 Berke St | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-18%) | 18mo | $349,000 | $205 | 18 |
| 512 Berke St | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,706 (-18%) | 18mo | $349,000 | $205 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-87,343
- Equity at exit
- $53,467
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-113,595
- Equity at exit
- $31,005
Cash invested: $100,406 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 27 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 40.5 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $337,990 ($182/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 87 d
- This list price
- 19% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76071
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,555 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,880
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$448 /mo · $5,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$149
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$537
- Net cashflow
- $-460
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-212 | -5% $-336 | +0% $-460 | +5% $-584 | +10% $-707 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-661 | -5% $-561 | +0% $-460 | +5% $-359 | +10% $-258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-279 | -0.5pp $-368 | base $-460 | +0.5pp $-553 | +1.0pp $-647 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,648
- Closing costs
- $10,758
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 County Road 4917 Newark, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2387 | $3,500 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 110 Road Runner Way, Newark TX 76071
- Financial info
- List price $326,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- New construction plan named "Hanna"Active listing
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- Open living area (2,087 finished living area)
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $326,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $326,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $326,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $326,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $326,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $326,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $326,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $326,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $326,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $326,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $326,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $326,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $326,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $326,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $326,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $326,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $326,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $326,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $326,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $326,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $326,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $326,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $326,990 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $326,990 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $326,990 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $326,990 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $326,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $326,990 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $326,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $326,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $326,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $326,990 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $326,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $326,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $326,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $326,990 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $326,990 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $326,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $326,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $326,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $326,990 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $326,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $326,990 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $326,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $326,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $326,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $326,990 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $326,990 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $326,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $326,990 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,087
- − Property taxes
- −$5,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,793
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,453
- − Management
- −$2,453
- − Depreciation
- −$10,432
- Taxable loss
- −$11,935
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,864
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This Hanna Plan home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal repairs and maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates include painting the exterior and interior walls, replacing carpet with hardwood flooring, and upgrading the kitchen appliances.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replacing carpet with hardwood flooring in bedrooms — Improves durability and adds value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833180
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,315
- Composite
- 46.15/100
- National rank
- #2504
- State rank
- #120 of 826 in TX
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1448
- US rank
- #24778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wise County · 71,620 people
- City population
- 5,159
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,159
- Household income
- $101,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,620 people
- By 2030
- 75,858 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 83,908 · +17.2%
- By 2050
- 90,717 · +26.7%
- By 2075
- 107,583 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 114,996 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wise
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.62%
- Current HPI
- 201.8868
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…