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7840 Daniels Ave
B Composite 73.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

7840 Daniels Ave · Parkville, MD 21234
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1954 6,021 sqft lot Est $241k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent fixer-upper opportunity! 2BR/1BA home with a large size basement and yard. This property is ready for a complete renovation. Home requires significant repairs and is being sold strictly as-is, including all exterior contents. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking for their next project. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities!

Key facts

  • 6,021 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Total below-grade area estimated at 816; Above-grade finished area listed as 816; Below-grade unfinished area estimated at 816; Property condition noted as Major Rehab Needed

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Major rehab needed
  • Construction: Brick and combination construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions listed as 1.00 x; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.3% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#77 in MD, #2,839 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
  • Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.68%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3115 Putty Hill Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,220 (+0%) 1mo $220,000 $180 74
3229 Orlando Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 1,208 (-1%) 6mo $210,000 $174 60
3325 Texas Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,314 (+8%) 10mo $320,000 $244 55
2818 Linganore Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,183 (-3%) 5mo $178,000 $150 54
2811 Emerald Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,278 (+5%) 7mo $289,000 $226 54
7700 Chestnut Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,193 (-2%) 8mo $172,000 $144 54
3203 Taylor Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+11%) 4mo $330,000 $244 53
3200 Willoughby Rd 0.36mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,311 (+8%) 10mo $360,000 $275 51
3018 Oakcrest Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,351 (+11%) 9mo $150,000 $111 46
2814 Oakcrest Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,376 (+13%) 1mo $310,000 $225 38
3005 Moreland Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,110 (-9%) 5mo $220,000 $198 36
2721 Glendale Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,391 (+14%) 10mo $240,000 $173 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,508
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$61,869
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21234

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,697 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,650/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,281
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 Linwood Ave Unit D Parkville, MD 1.0 1.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 43d 1 0.57mi
2800 Linwood Ave Unit C Parkville, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 16d 1 0.57mi
3108 Glendale Ave Parkville, MD 3.0 3.0 1224 $2,550 $2.08 24d 1 0.58mi
8204 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD 2.0 1.0 1146 $1,850 $1.61 43d 1 0.71mi
8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD 2.0 1.0 1146 $1,850 $1.61 43d 1 0.72mi
8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 1 Parkville, MD 2.0 1.0 1146 $1,750 $1.53 43d 1 0.72mi
35-C Mopec Cir Nottingham, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,445 $1.31 2d 10 0.73mi
2906 Clearview Ave Parkville, MD 1.0 2.0 1490 $1,500 $1.01 24d 1 0.75mi
2525 Wendover Rd Unit B Parkville, MD 2.0 1.0 730 $1,650 $2.26 43d 1 0.93mi
3158 Woodring Ave Parkville, MD 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,950 $1.30 24d 1 0.97mi
8417 Nunley Dr Parkville, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,800 $2.22 24d 1 1.02mi
7839 Birmingham Ave Parkville, MD 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,775 $1.56 43d 1 1.03mi
3010 Woodring Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 43d 1 1.07mi
7935 Belridge Rd Nottingham, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 974 $1,858 $1.91 2d 17 1.11mi
3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 937 $1,550 $1.65 4d 1 1.19mi
3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 969 $1,490 $1.54 4d 1 1.19mi
3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 797 $1,165 $1.46 43d 1 1.19mi
9300 Carney Ave Unit A Parkville, MD 2.0 1.0 1392 $1,300 $0.93 43d 1 1.21mi
8309 Arbor Station Way Parkville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 846 $1,815 $2.15 2d 8 1.24mi
6410 Walther Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 1195 $1,995 $1.67 43d 7 1.26mi
2908 5th Ave Parkville, MD 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,950 $1.55 43d 1 1.45mi
8501 Walther Blvd Nottingham, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 780 $1,629 $2.09 2d 21 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 358-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,650 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,650 · $221/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,363
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,650
− Insurance
−$1,316
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,629
− Management
−$1,629
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,084
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$500
After-tax cash flow
$3,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400120
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,746
Composite
23.17/100
National rank
#7948
State rank
#11 of 24 in MD

Livability — Parkville

Score
77/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#2839

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parkville, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
66,334
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
66,334
Household income
$83,517
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
2719.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
885,518 people
By 2030
909,272 · +2.7%
By 2040
951,547 · +7.5%
By 2050
990,955 · +11.9%
By 2075
1,086,411 · +22.7%
By 2100
1,135,078 · +28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 28% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -247.04%
Current HPI
254.3824
Rent YoY
▲ 6.68%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+982.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
  • 1999-03-30 Sold (MLS) $89,500 MRIS
  • 1999-03-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-02-03 Listed $89,500 MRIS
  • 1959-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,650 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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