177 Bank St · Lebanon Junction, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! This is a very well kept 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with an eat-in-kitchen, covered front porch and rear patio. New flooring, carpet and paint. MOVE-IN ready! *AGE CAN NOT BE VERIFIED PER PVA* Call to schedule your appointment today!
Key facts
- Furnished home
- Back yard
- Mature shade trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions provided for access via I-65 South to Hwy 61 and Hwy 434
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Propane
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof; Year built listed as 9999
- Exterior features: Lot is cleared and level; Flood insurance required; Lot dimensions approximately 170 x 58.5 x 170 x 83.5
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (propane); Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Total of 4 main rooms; 2 closets; No basement; First-floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#282 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $660 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $96k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.30%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,855
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 682 Main St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 975 (-1%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $103 | 84 |
| 500 Church St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,004 (+2%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $168 | 78 |
| 671 Main St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 976 (-1%) | 22mo | $159,000 | $163 | 69 |
| 260 Walnut St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-9%) | 17mo | $84,950 | $94 | 67 |
| 294 W Oak St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,002 (+2%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 11458 S Preston Hwy | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 957 (-3%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 345 Church St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-15%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $167 | 64 |
| 874 Main St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-10%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $56 | 62 |
| 133 Pope St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (-5%) | 18mo | $157,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 501 Highway 434 | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,063 (+8%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $165 | 54 |
| 11233 SW Preston Hwy | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-10%) | 13mo | $127,600 | $143 | 46 |
| 169 Thompson Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+11%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $200 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-7,981
- Equity at exit
- $14,239
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,641
- Equity at exit
- $8,257
Cash invested: $26,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40150
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$501
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $751/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $145 | +0% $118 | +5% $91 | +10% $64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $46 | -5% $82 | +0% $118 | +5% $154 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $166 | -0.5pp $142 | base $118 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $68 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,875
- Closing costs
- $2,865
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $95,500 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-02$109,900 Active
-
2015-07-27soldstatus $59,900 Closed 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! This is a very well kept 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with an eat-in-kitchen, covered front porch and rear patio. New flooring, carpet and paint. MOVE-IN ready! *AGE CAN NOT BE VERIFIED PER PVA* Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2015-07-27soldstatus $59,900
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! This is a very well kept 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with an eat-in-kitchen, covered front porch and rear patio. New flooring, carpet and paint. MOVE-IN ready! *AGE CAN NOT BE VERIFIED PER PVA* Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2015-06-09status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! This is a very well kept 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with an eat-in-kitchen, covered front porch and rear patio. New flooring, carpet and paint. MOVE-IN ready! *AGE CAN NOT BE VERIFIED PER PVA* Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2015-04-02$59,900 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! This is a very well kept 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with an eat-in-kitchen, covered front porch and rear patio. New flooring, carpet and paint. MOVE-IN ready! *AGE CAN NOT BE VERIFIED PER PVA* Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2000-02-18soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $751 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $821 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$71/yr (+$6/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,954
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,349
- − Property taxes
- −$751
- − Insurance
- −$478
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$876
- − Management
- −$876
- − Depreciation
- −$2,778
- Taxable loss
- −$154
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$37
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bullitt County
- NCES district ID
- 2100750
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,009
- Composite
- 30.78/100
- National rank
- #6151
- State rank
- #55 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lebanon Junction
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #13721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lebanon Junction, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,824
Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,555 people
- By 2030
- 94,389 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 102,759 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 108,955 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 121,898 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 126,383 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.66%
- Current HPI
- 328.207
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+899.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $109,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2015-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2015-07-27 Sold (MLS) $59,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2015-06-09 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2015-04-02 Listed $59,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2000-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $751 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…