314 Main St · Antwerp, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath residence exudes both character and potential, offering an exceptional opportunity for a discerning buyer to transform it into a truly remarkable home. From the moment you arrive, the property’s inviting curb appeal and solid construction are immediately evident. The exterior presents a timeless aesthetic, while the home’s sturdy foundation and dry basement attest to its enduring quality and structural integrity. Upon entering the first floor, you are greeted by a spacious and functional layout. The kitchen, of generous proportion, provides ample room for culinary creativity and could easily accommodate modern upgrades or custom c
Key facts
- Solid construction
- Ample room
- Cozy dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story existing residence
- Construction: Stone foundation; Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Irregular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
- Interior features: See remarks (additional interior details noted); Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,064 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $707 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.87%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,192
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Mechanic St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,638 (-10%) | 5mo | $52,500 | $32 | 58 |
| 3 Lexington Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-10%) | 19mo | $174,000 | $105 | 56 |
| 227 Main St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,566 (-14%) | 23mo | $10,000 | $6 | 50 |
| 22 Main St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,640 (-10%) | 13mo | $38,000 | $23 | 49 |
| 8 Van Buren St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,980 (+9%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $33 | 47 |
| 31 Van Buren St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (-8%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $107 | 42 |
| 101 Washington St | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,997 (+10%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $102 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $23,352
- Equity at exit
- $29,695
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $65,373
- Equity at exit
- $38,704
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13608
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $89,900
-
2025-11-18$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,277 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,277 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,277
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$733
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615300
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,599
- Composite
- 35.25/100
- National rank
- #4977
- State rank
- #502 of 590 in NY
Livability — Antwerp
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1064
- US rank
- #21270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Antwerp, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,845
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Current HPI
- 582.0014
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $89,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,277 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…