20204 Kenosha St · Harper Woods, MI 48225

$120,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,030 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market

Built 1940 4,792 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.7/30.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

Key facts

• Brick bungalow
• Natural fireplace
• Deck

Tags

• BRICK BUNGALOW
• NATURAL FIREPLACE
• DETACHED GARAGE
• FENCED IN YARD
• DECK

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
• Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
• Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 13 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $70k; list at $120k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.91%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $70,040
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
20244 Mccormick St	0.17mi	3/1.0	1,000 (-3%)	1mo	$75,000	$75	84
11640 Somerset Ave	0.36mi	3/2.0	1,028 (-0%)	0mo	$70,000	$68	81
20300 Mccormick St	0.19mi	3/1.0	940 (-9%)	1mo	$60,000	$64	74
10945 Peerless St	0.37mi	3/1.0	964 (-6%)	2mo	$54,000	$56	69
11017 Worden St	0.40mi	3/1.0	961 (-7%)	0mo	$47,500	$49	68
11545 Roxbury St	0.74mi	3/1.0	1,003 (-3%)	1mo	$65,000	$65	58
10830 Mckinney St	0.74mi	3/1.0	1,066 (+4%)	1mo	$40,199	$38	57
19100 Kingsville St	0.67mi	3/1.0	972 (-6%)	2mo	$110,000	$113	56
9369 Sanilac St	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,124 (+9%)	1mo	$65,000	$58	53
21211 Newcastle Rd	0.63mi	3/1.0	1,120 (+9%)	2mo	$135,000	$121	53
21135 Littlestone Rd	0.69mi	3/1.0	1,119 (+9%)	1mo	$187,500	$168	51
19381 Kenosha St	0.47mi	2/1.0 (-1)	892 (-13%)	2mo	$104,000	$117	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.98×
• Total profit: $-545
• Equity at exit: $17,892

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.98×
• Total profit: $32,863
• Equity at exit: $10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48225

• Rents YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 133
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,381 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$629
• Tax from tax record: −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$290
• Net cashflow: $250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,065

Max offer price $120,000

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $30,000
• Closing costs: $3,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI	4.0	1.0	1100	$1,399	$1.27	15d	1	0.19mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	866	$1,200	$1.39	4d	1	0.20mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI	3.0	2.0	1000	$1,400	$1.40	24d	1	0.31mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,364	$1.36	5d	1	0.34mi
10870 Marne St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1156	$1,100	$0.95	17d	1	0.36mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,100	$1.22	44d	1	0.38mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,500	$1.50	17d	1	0.44mi
19435 McCormick St Detroit, MI	3.0	2.0	1148	$1,300	$1.13	17d	1	0.45mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1023	$1,250	$1.22	44d	1	0.51mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI	4.0	1.5	996	$1,650	$1.66	15d	1	0.51mi
20926 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,350	$1.12	44d	1	0.53mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	24d	1	0.53mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI	3.0	1.0	916	$1,500	$1.64	17d	1	0.65mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,245	$1.13	44d	1	0.67mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,245	$1.13	15d	1	0.67mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,050	$1.17	44d	1	0.69mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	955	$1,250	$1.31	13d	1	0.71mi
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	986	$1,250	$1.27	44d	1	0.72mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	984	$1,250	$1.27	44d	1	0.72mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI	2.0	1.0	944	$1,200	$1.27	24d	1	0.74mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	720	$1,200	$1.67	13d	1	0.77mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1084	$1,300	$1.20	13d	1	0.79mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	964	$1,150	$1.19	11d	1	0.79mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	44d	1	0.81mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	890	$1,100	$1.24	44d	1	0.82mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,500	$1.50	3d	1	0.83mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	44d	1	0.85mi
19168 Berden St Grosse Pointe, MI	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,800	$1.50	2d	1	0.86mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	709	$1,040	$1.47	44d	1	0.86mi
20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI	3.0	1.0	1006	$1,500	$1.49	17d	1	0.88mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1140	$1,200	$1.05	17d	1	0.90mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI	3.0	1.5	1329	$1,200	$0.90	17d	1	0.90mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1102	$1,299	$1.18	18d	1	0.90mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1088	$1,500	$1.38	44d	1	0.91mi
6154 Woodhall St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1136	$1,000	$0.88	44d	1	0.94mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	767	$1,250	$1.63	44d	1	0.96mi
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1350	$1,350	$1.00	44d	1	0.96mi
6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1330	$1,199	$0.90	17d	1	0.96mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1142	$1,350	$1.18	44d	1	0.98mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1062	$1,325	$1.25	17d	1	0.98mi

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-04-08
   status Pending 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

2. 2026-04-08
   status Pending 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

3. 2026-04-08
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

4. 2026-04-02
   status Active 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

5. 2026-04-02
   historical 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

6. 2026-03-16
   listed $120,000 Active 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

7. 2026-03-16
   listed $120,000 Active 237-char remark

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

8. 2026-03-16
   listed $120,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (237 chars)

   TENANT OCCUPIED! Beautiful Brick Bungalow, natural fireplace in living room, 2 car detached garage with fenced in yard and deck. Photos from before tenant occupancy. Tenant since 2015, paying $1,200, currently on a month to month status.

9. 2018-06-08
   soldstatus $70,000
10. 2015-05-22
    soldstatus $850
11. 2015-03-24
    historical
12. 2015-03-12
    listed $850
13. 2014-04-25
    soldstatus $39,000
14. 2014-04-25
    soldstatus $39,000
15. 2014-04-15
    historical
16. 2014-03-28
    listed $39,900
17. 2014-03-28
    listed $39,900
18. 2011-04-04
    historical
19. 2011-04-04
    historical
20. 2011-02-12
    listed $49,000
21. 2011-02-12
    listed $49,000
22. 2011-02-12
    historical
23. 2011-02-11
    historical
24. 2010-12-01
    listed $39,900
25. 2010-12-01
    listed $39,900
26. 2010-11-10
    soldstatus $27,000
27. 2010-11-10
    soldstatus $27,000
28. 2010-06-14
    historical
29. 2010-04-21
    listed $34,500
30. 2010-04-21
    listed $34,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,942 · $162/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,942 · $162/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,567
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,722
• − Property taxes: −$1,942
• − Insurance: −$600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,325
• − Management: −$1,325
• − Depreciation: −$3,491
• Taxable income: $1,162
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$279
• After-tax cash flow: $2,716/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Harper Woods School District
• NCES district ID: 2617760
• Math proficiency: 4% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 15% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $46,155
• Composite: 8.8/100
• National rank: #9892
• State rank: #524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #199
• US rank: #5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Harper Woods, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 16,098
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 16,098
• Household income: $61,750
• Rent vs Own: 33.8% rent · 66.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -150.40%
• Current HPI: 181.4961
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.10%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+247.8% since first listed

30 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2026-04-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-04-08 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
• 2026-04-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
• 2026-04-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2026-03-16 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-03-16 Listed $120,000 SW Michigan MLS
• 2026-03-16 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2018-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
• 2015-05-22 Sold (MLS) $850 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2015-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2015-03-12 Listed $850 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2014-04-25 Sold (MLS) $39,000 REALCOMP
• 2014-04-25 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2014-04-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2014-03-28 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
• 2014-03-28 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2011-04-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2011-04-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2011-02-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2011-02-12 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
• 2011-02-12 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2011-02-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2010-12-01 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
• 2010-12-01 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $27,000 REALCOMP
• 2010-06-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2010-04-21 Listed $34,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2010-04-21 Listed $34,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,942 · -46.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.