14322 Admiralty Way #27 · Lake Stickney, WA 98087

$130,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 782 sqft · Manufactured public records · 72 Days on market

Built 1960 $166/sqft · 34% above area Est $107k · 21% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.5/10.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Major Buyer Incentive! The seller has recently reduced the price by $5,000 and is also offering 5 MONTHS OF FREE SPACE RENT with an acceptable offer. That's an immediate price reduction and months of savings after closing. Opportunities like this don't come along often in this community. Schedule your showing today and see the value for yourself! It’s a space that feels clean, calm, and ready for your next chapter. Outside, the setting becomes something truly special. Surrounded by mature landscaping, this home is tucked into a peaceful corner, where a spacious deck overlooks a gentle pond with a flowing fountain. Whether it’s quiet mornings with a cup of coffee or relaxed aft

Key facts

• Community pool
• Built 1960
• Listed 71 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $586 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.4% in Lake Stickney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#192 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, cost of living F.
• Mukilteo School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #111 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $39k; list at $130k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $122,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.31%
• DSCR: 1.86
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $107,485
• List price: $130,000
• Delta: 25.60%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 12 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14322 Admiralty Way #91	0.00mi	1/1.0	784 (+0%)	5mo	$83,500	$107	95
14322 Admiralty Way #1	0.00mi	1/1.0	728 (-7%)	6mo	$120,000	$165	83
14322 Admiralty Way #70	0.00mi	1/1.0	867 (+11%)	21mo	$130,000	$150	64
13320 Highway 99 #109	0.51mi	2/1.0 (+1)	768 (-2%)	6mo	$115,000	$150	63
13320 Hwy 99 #82	0.51mi	1/1.0	744 (-5%)	8mo	$69,500	$93	61
14322 Admiralty Way #77	0.00mi	1/1.0	672 (-14%)	23mo	$90,000	$134	57
13320 Hwy 99 #34	0.51mi	2/1.0 (+1)	848 (+8%)	1mo	$125,000	$147	56
13320 Hwy 99 #51	0.51mi	2/1.0 (+1)	684 (-12%)	3mo	$95,000	$139	48
13320 Highway 99 #54	0.51mi	2/1.0 (+1)	722 (-8%)	20mo	$89,000	$123	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.36×
• Total profit: $12,969
• Equity at exit: $19,383

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.27×
• Total profit: $46,363
• Equity at exit: $11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98087

• Rents YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 234
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,879 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$395
• Net cashflow: $586

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137

Max offer price $130,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $676	-5% $631	+0% $586	+5% $541	+10% $496
Rent	-10% $437	-5% $512	+0% $586	+5% $660	+10% $734
Rate	-1.0pp $651	-0.5pp $619	base $586	+0.5pp $552	+1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 35 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14014 Admiralty Way Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	768	$1,675	$2.18	6d	6	0.08mi
14131 Admiralty Way Unit B Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.5	1000	$2,245	$2.25	25d	1	0.10mi
2709 Lincoln Way Lynnwood, WA	2.0–3.0	2.0	1120	$2,256	$2.01	2d	4	0.24mi
14611 Admiralty Way Lynnwood, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1004	$1,868	$1.86	2d	11	0.30mi
15001 35th Ave W Lynnwood, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	885	$1,680	$1.90	0d	15	0.60mi
3717 148th St SW Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0–2.0	865	$1,912	$2.21	3d	6	0.61mi
13000 Admiralty Way Unit K103 Everett, WA	1.0	1.0	609	$1,700	$2.79	44d	1	1.00mi
14402 Madison Way Lynnwood, WA	1.0	1.0	800	$2,500	$3.12	44d	1	1.00mi
15713 35th Ave W Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0	940	$2,000	$2.13	25d	1	1.02mi
2510 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA	3.0	1.0–2.0	998	$2,233	$2.24	0d	1	1.08mi
4109 156th St SW Unit A3 Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0	988	$1,895	$1.92	25d	1	1.13mi
4109 156th St SW Unit B4 Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0	985	$1,995	$2.03	44d	1	1.13mi
16003 Admiralty Way Lynnwood, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1052	$1,596	$1.52	0d	4	1.16mi
15704 Ash Way Unit 1256072P Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0	893	$4,850	$5.43	3d	1	1.22mi
15706 Ash Way Unit 1289576P Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0	893	$4,860	$5.44	3d	1	1.23mi
12530 Admiralty Way Unit D304 Everett, WA	2.0	2.0	1050	$2,400	$2.29	6d	1	1.24mi
15631 Ash Way Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0–2.0	786	$1,954	$2.49	0d	18	1.26mi
3333 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1048	$1,917	$1.83	0d	20	1.27mi
12907 E Gibson Rd Everett, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	859	$1,915	$2.23	6d	4	1.29mi
12907 E Gibson Rd Everett, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	775	$1,438	$1.86	0d	7	1.29mi
16116 Ash Way Lynnwood, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1000	$1,882	$1.88	0d	9	1.31mi
4902 148th St SW Edmonds, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	801	$1,738	$2.17	0d	10	1.36mi
15700 44th Ave W Lynnwood, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	940	$1,615	$1.72	3d	1	1.37mi
16104 36th Ave W Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0	761	$1,699	$2.23	0d	5	1.37mi
3711 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	845	$2,033	$2.40	0d	7	1.37mi
1007 130th St SW Everett, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	796	$1,450	$1.82	0d	10	1.38mi
12121 Highway 99 Everett, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0	638	$1,353	$2.12	6d	14	1.38mi
16200 Admiralty Way Lynnwood, WA	2.0	1.0–2.0	783	$2,379	$3.04	0d	34	1.38mi
909 132nd St SW Everett, WA	1.0	1.0	520	$1,495	$2.88	2d	2	1.40mi
3805 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	843	$1,670	$1.98	2d	5	1.41mi
12433 Admiralty Way Everett, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	1244	$1,699	$1.37	0d	34	1.42mi
12118 Highway 99 Everett, WA	1.0–5.0	1.0–3.0	1117	$1,646	$1.47	2d	5	1.42mi
15914 44th Ave W Lynnwood, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	932	$1,689	$1.81	2d	10	1.45mi
921 130th St SW Unit A101 Everett, WA	2.0	2.0	844	$1,600	$1.90	0d	1	1.46mi
12402 Admiralty Way Everett, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	842	$1,475	$1.75	3d	16	1.46mi

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   pricedays on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
15. 2026-04-10
    listed $135,000 Active
16. 2020-01-17
    soldstatus $38,950 Sold
17. 2020-01-07
    status Pending
18. 2019-12-29
    status Pending Inspection
19. 2019-12-04
    price $39,950
20. 2019-10-11
    listed $49,950 Active
21. 2011-07-08
    soldstatus $15,500 Sold
22. 2011-07-07
    status Pending
23. 2011-07-07
    status Pending
24. 2011-07-07
    soldstatus $15,500 Sold
25. 2011-06-27
    status Pending Inspection
26. 2011-06-27
    status Pending Inspection
27. 2011-05-24
    listed $19,950 Active
28. 2011-04-28
    listed $19,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,545
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$1,950
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,804
• − Management: −$1,804
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable income: $5,274
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,266
• After-tax cash flow: $5,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mukilteo School District
• NCES district ID: 5305430
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $60,807
• Composite: 48.17/100
• National rank: #4733
• State rank: #111 of 291 in WA

Livability — Lake Stickney

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #192
• US rank: #5224

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lake Stickney, WA
• County: Snohomish County · 786,756 people
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• Population (ZIP): 41,796
• Household income: $106,693
• Rent vs Own: 48.0% rent · 52.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2303.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 899,800 people
• By 2030: 960,975 · +6.8%
• By 2040: 1,074,447 · +19.4%
• By 2050: 1,171,954 · +30.2%
• By 2075: 1,384,849 · +53.9%
• By 2100: 1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 48% Asian 20% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 8% Pacific Islander 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 29% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

• 2024 margin: D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -723.54%
• Current HPI: 320.6888
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.22%
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

+576.7% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-10 Listed $135,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-01-17 Sold (MLS) $38,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-01-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-12-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-12-04 Price Changed $39,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-10-11 Listed $49,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-07-08 Sold (MLS) $15,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-07-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-07-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-07-07 Sold (MLS) $15,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-06-27 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-06-27 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-05-24 Listed $19,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2011-04-28 Listed $19,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $199 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.