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79 Montana Ave Multi-family
B- Composite 68.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$134,999

79 Montana Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1877 3,270 sqft lot Est $108k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to 79 Montana Avenue, A Milty-family home located in the heart of Buffalo NY 14211. Situated in a great Neighborhood. "SOLD AS IS CONDITIONS"

Key facts

  • 3,270 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1877

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property; Separate electric meters for each unit; One shared gas meter; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,602/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
17.43%
Cash-on-cash
39.77%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
45 Cambridge Ave 0.28mi 5/2.0 2,042 (+2%) 10mo $62,000 $30 76
65 Goembel Ave 0.46mi 5/2.0 1,910 (-4%) 8mo $110,000 $58 65
246 Cambridge Ave 0.65mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (0%) 5mo $117,000 $59 60
266 Cambridge Ave 0.69mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (0%) 7mo $75,000 $38 57
94 Ericson Ave 0.73mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,974 (-1%) 2mo $85,000 $43 57
221 May St 0.42mi 5/2.0 1,794 (-10%) 8mo $91,000 $51 57
109 Newburgh Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,970 (-2%) 7mo $140,000 $71 54
210 Carl St 0.70mi 5/2.0 2,112 (+6%) 7mo $220,000 $104 53
141 Moselle St 0.38mi 5/2.0 1,730 (-14%) 8mo $30,000 $17 53
950 Northampton St 0.67mi 5/2.0 2,190 (+10%) 2mo $55,000 $25 52
60 Sattler Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,746 (-13%) 6mo $94,500 $54 36
124 Newburgh Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-12%) 7mo $95,000 $54 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$85,844
Equity at exit
$53,607
10-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$207,367
Equity at exit
$77,471

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,602 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $462/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$1,197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,086
Max offer price $134,999
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,274 -5% $1,236 +0% $1,197 +5% $1,159 +10% $1,121
Rent -10% $992 -5% $1,095 +0% $1,197 +5% $1,300 +10% $1,403
Rate -1.0pp $1,265 -0.5pp $1,232 base $1,197 +0.5pp $1,162 +1.0pp $1,127

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,602

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 2d 1 1.10mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 15d 1 1.32mi
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 24d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,999 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,999 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 149-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $134,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$462 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$910/yr (+$76/mo · 196.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,224
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$462
− Insurance
−$1,341
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,498
− Management
−$2,498
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$12,935
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,104
After-tax cash flow
$11,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $134,999 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2025-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $48,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $462 · +166.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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