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622 N 30th St
B- Composite 68.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

622 N 30th St · Fort Smith, AR 72901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1950 8,250 sqft lot Est $94k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Close to everything!!! Just a little TLC will bring this home to life and provide years of memories. Situated on a quiet street, this home offers energy efficiency and low maintenance exterior. Some features include: Double pane windows, vapor barrier in crawl space house, extra insulation in attic plus large fenced backyard with huge pecan bearing tree.

Key facts

  • Double pane windows
  • Energy efficiency
  • 8,250 sq ft lot

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENCYLOW MAINTENANCE EXTERIORDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSVAPOR BARRIER IN CRAWL SPACEEXTRA INSULATION IN ATTICLARGE FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Park in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing in the backyard; Outbuilding; City lot, level; Paved, public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Storage space; Double pane windows with blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Tilles Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #293 of 454 statewide, top 65%, 300 students, 92% FRL); William O. Darby Jr. High Sch. (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #164 of 201 statewide, top 82%, 700 students, 87% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.95%
Cash-on-cash
13.07%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,912
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
808 N 34th St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+3%) 6mo $114,000 $107 76
424 35th St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-5%) 1mo $133,400 $136 70
500 Lecta Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 908 (-12%) 0mo $119,900 $132 68
635 Clifton Ct 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,168 (+13%) 0mo $90,000 $77 64
1123 N 35th St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-4%) 4mo $44,000 $44 62
1711 N J St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,028 (-0%) 3mo $50,000 $49 61
421 N 40th St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,023 (-1%) 6mo $26,000 $25 59
1018 S 25th St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,057 (+2%) 2mo $105,000 $99 56
709 N 41st St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,111 (+8%) 2mo $136,000 $122 54
1435 N 35th St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 956 (-7%) 2mo $51,700 $54 49
1220 N 35th St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 907 (-12%) 1mo $53,000 $58 48
1201 N 39th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+12%) 6mo $105,000 $91 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,035
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$30,260
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72901

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$959 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $203/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $630
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
501 N May Ave Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1022 $825 $0.81 21d 1 0.24mi
3600 Kinkead Ave Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 797 $1,490 $1.87 13d 15 0.34mi
1117 N 32nd St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 744 $850 $1.14 13d 1 0.38mi
3014 Presley St Unit FB44 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.5 1040 $925 $0.89 21d 1 0.43mi
3014 Presley St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 782 $925 $1.18 13d 4 0.43mi
3605 Barry Ave Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 562 $845 $1.50 21d 3 0.43mi
811 N 41st St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1306 $900 $0.69 13d 1 0.67mi
1453 N 35th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 913 $900 $0.99 21d 1 0.71mi
2322 S I St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 755 $895 $1.19 11d 2 0.73mi
2500 Dodson Ave Unit 1 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 13d 1 0.79mi
1224 N Albert Pike Ave Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 735 $695 $0.95 13d 6 0.90mi
800 S 19th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1286 $1,095 $0.85 3d 1 0.90mi
3500 S N St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 834 $935 $1.12 21d 1 0.96mi
2820 S O St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.5 1024 $875 $0.85 21d 1 1.00mi
3906 S N St Unit 3904 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.5 1024 $800 $0.78 21d 1 1.04mi
1700 S 28th St Unit 1 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 850 $795 $0.94 13d 1 1.07mi
813 N 48th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1170 $800 $0.68 21d 1 1.16mi
1907 S N St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1114 $950 $0.85 21d 1 1.18mi
1307 S 17th St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,150 $0.99 21d 1 1.19mi
101 N 11th St Unit 112 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,240 $1.19 21d 1 1.21mi
101 N 11th St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,115 $1.38 3d 9 1.22mi
4911 Free Ferry Rd Unit Vi Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,150 $0.93 21d 1 1.32mi
1331 S 46th St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1075 $1,150 $1.07 13d 6 1.32mi
2409 N 30th St Unit 1 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.5 1258 $950 $0.76 21d 1 1.48mi
2301 S V St Unit 7 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 795 $550 $0.69 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    remarks 356-char remark
  10. 2026-05-30
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$203 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$544 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$341/yr (+$28/mo · 168.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,503
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$203
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$920
− Management
−$920
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$432
After-tax cash flow
$2,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$42,851
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.82%
Current HPI
172.3777
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $85,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-03 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $94,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $104,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $109,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $119,000 CARMLS
  • 2010-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $203 · -25.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…