432 Shoop Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a simple property to move into or to build your investment portfolio with? Look no further, this home offers a spacious main level with an unfinished basement for all your storage needs. And let's not forget the detached garage out back!
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Main level
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (8 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (12 x 15 and 15 x 17)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $90k implies a 462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.78%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2515 Hoover Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,608 (+3%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $75 | 78 |
| 816 Kammer Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-6%) | 11mo | $100,700 | $69 | 68 |
| 736 Westwood Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,494 (-4%) | 10mo | $166,000 | $111 | 67 |
| 127 N Ardmore Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,512 (-3%) | 1mo | $29,700 | $20 | 66 |
| 216 Westwood Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,436 (-8%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 3805 Hoover Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,513 (-3%) | 6mo | $66,400 | $44 | 58 |
| 1412 Oakridge Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,492 (-4%) | 7mo | $73,000 | $49 | 57 |
| 1419 Lexington Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,496 (-4%) | 8mo | $27,280 | $18 | 50 |
| 1029 Shakespeare Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,436 (-8%) | 4mo | $71,000 | $49 | 49 |
| 113 Anna St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 5mo | $88,000 | $65 | 44 |
| 58 Hallwood Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-11%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $50 | 40 |
| 104 N Upland Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-9%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $102 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $5,022
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $33,042
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $315 | +0% $289 | +5% $264 | +10% $238 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $202 | -5% $246 | +0% $289 | +5% $333 | +10% $376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $335 | -0.5pp $312 | base $289 | +0.5pp $266 | +1.0pp $242 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1322 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 617 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 216 N Ardmore Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 660 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1045 Shakespeare Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,275 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1045 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,150 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 40 S Mathison St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 42 S Mathison St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,220 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1119 Superior Ave Unit 1119 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 424 Lexington Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,025 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3207 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 623 Clifton Dr Apt A Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 623 Clifton Dr Apt B Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,174 | $0.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2240 Lakeview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1378 Cory Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $975 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3672 Karwin Dr Unit 3672 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $995 | $0.66 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3668 Karwin Dr Unit 3672 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $995 | $0.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 47 Leroy St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $950 | $0.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1225 Amherst Pl Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1548 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 249-char remark
-
2026-06-03$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,129 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$275/yr (+$23/mo · 32.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+462.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $90,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-08-01 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-06-16 Price Changed $85,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-05-16 Listed $89,000 Dayton MLS
- 2023-07-21 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2023-07-06 Listed $50,000 Dayton MLS
- 2023-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-15 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2022-05-19 Listed $45,000 Dayton MLS
- 2004-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 2001-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1985-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $854 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…