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3200 Mcgehee Rd
B Composite 73.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

3200 Mcgehee Rd · Montgomery, AL 36111
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,652 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1965 0.51 ac lot Est $154k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful home with pool. Home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 baths. Lots of cabinets and closet space. Large backyard with extra parking. Great home for the value.

Key facts

  • In-ground pool
  • Ample parking
  • Updated flooring

Tags

FOUR-SIDED BRICK EXTERIORIN-GROUND POOLUPDATED FLOORINGAMPLE PARKINGGENEROUS OVER HALF-ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; City lot
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Year built reported by owner
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Patio; In-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating
  • Interior features: Blinds and window treatments; Carpet and wood flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $81k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.21%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,636
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3055 N Colonial Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-2%) 8mo $170,000 $105 83
2603 Fairmont Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,613 (-2%) 0mo $129,900 $81 77
3406 Sommerville Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+5%) 2mo $175,000 $101 69
2614 Fisk Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,772 (+7%) 3mo $139,900 $79 68
2708 Ashlawn Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,670 (+1%) 1mo $88,000 $53 66
2656 Fisk Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,584 (-4%) 8mo $100,000 $63 65
3212 Mcgehee Rd 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,858 (+12%) 10mo $199,900 $108 64
2816 Newport Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,738 (+5%) 7mo $162,000 $93 58
3126 Fernway Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,638 (-1%) 8mo $160,221 $98 58
3026 Guymar Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,794 (+9%) 2mo $80,000 $45 58
2632 Burkelaun Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,853 (+12%) 2mo $185,000 $100 57
3036 Sutton Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-9%) 4mo $116,000 $77 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$10,308
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$42,067
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36111

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,146/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2651 Clement Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,550 $1.11 21d 1 0.16mi
3543 Carter Hill Rd Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $925 $0.83 14d 16 0.26mi
2441 Price St Unit D Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1264 $900 $0.71 21d 1 0.38mi
2440 Price St Unit C Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,050 $0.58 44d 1 0.42mi
2656 Fisk Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1584 $1,400 $0.88 44d 1 0.42mi
2430 Price St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.5 1275 $1,175 $0.92 14d 1 0.43mi
3050 Sutton Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1719 $1,450 $0.84 21d 1 0.55mi
3580 McGehee Pl Dr S Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,205 $1.00 44d 1 0.82mi
3352 Ridgefield Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1932 $1,761 $0.91 21d 1 0.90mi
2619 Brantford Pl Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,200 $0.91 44d 1 0.95mi
4220 Strathmore Dr Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 931 $1,099 $1.18 44d 1 0.99mi
2983 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,725 $0.86 21d 1 1.09mi
2724 Forsyth Ln Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1794 $1,400 $0.78 44d 1 1.12mi
2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 902 $898 $1.00 14d 11 1.17mi
2311 Cottingham Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,595 $0.95 44d 1 1.20mi
3252 Cheltenham Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1705 $1,200 $0.70 44d 1 1.23mi
4409 McCampbell Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,600 $0.90 14d 1 1.25mi
1814 Sylvan Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1785 $1,400 $0.78 21d 1 1.30mi
1738 Fairforest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2166 $1,895 $0.87 44d 1 1.32mi
4243 Vaughn Rd Unit 1043807P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1496 $3,360 $2.25 44d 1 1.37mi
1516 Charleton Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1895 $1,650 $0.87 44d 1 1.39mi
3110 Virginia Downs Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1068 $800 $0.75 44d 1 1.45mi
1839 Robison Hill Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1370 $1,550 $1.13 21d 1 1.47mi
3770 Maclamar Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1129 $950 $0.84 21d 1 1.49mi
3248 Meadow Walk Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,200 $1.08 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 620-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $94,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,146 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,146 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,735
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,146
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,259
− Management
−$1,259
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$3,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$845
After-tax cash flow
$3,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
City population
175,913
Population (ZIP)
12,196

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 34% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · China, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.63%
Current HPI
156.4412
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $94,900 MAAR
  • 2018-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 2015-02-11 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2015-01-23 Sold (MLS) $25,250 MAAR
  • 2014-07-31 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2004-03-30 Listed $88,900 MAAR
  • 2003-07-28 Listed $83,900 MAAR
  • 2001-05-07 Listed $84,000 MAAR
  • 2000-10-16 Listed $88,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,146 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…