3200 Mcgehee Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful home with pool. Home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 baths. Lots of cabinets and closet space. Large backyard with extra parking. Great home for the value.
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Ample parking
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; City lot
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Year built reported by owner
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Patio; In-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating
- Interior features: Blinds and window treatments; Carpet and wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.21%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,636
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3055 N Colonial Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-2%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $105 | 83 |
| 2603 Fairmont Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-2%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $81 | 77 |
| 3406 Sommerville Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (+5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $101 | 69 |
| 2614 Fisk Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (+7%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $79 | 68 |
| 2708 Ashlawn Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+1%) | 1mo | $88,000 | $53 | 66 |
| 2656 Fisk Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (-4%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $63 | 65 |
| 3212 Mcgehee Rd | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,858 (+12%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $108 | 64 |
| 2816 Newport Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,738 (+5%) | 7mo | $162,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 3126 Fernway Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (-1%) | 8mo | $160,221 | $98 | 58 |
| 3026 Guymar Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,794 (+9%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $45 | 58 |
| 2632 Burkelaun Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,853 (+12%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $100 | 57 |
| 3036 Sutton Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-9%) | 4mo | $116,000 | $77 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,308
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $42,067
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36111
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,311 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2651 Clement Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3543 Carter Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $925 | $0.83 | 14d | 16 | 0.26mi |
| 2441 Price St Unit D Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $900 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2440 Price St Unit C Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,050 | $0.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2656 Fisk Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2430 Price St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,175 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3050 Sutton Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,450 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3580 McGehee Pl Dr S Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,205 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3352 Ridgefield Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1932 | $1,761 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2619 Brantford Pl Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4220 Strathmore Dr Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,099 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2983 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,725 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2724 Forsyth Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $898 | $1.00 | 14d | 11 | 1.17mi |
| 2311 Cottingham Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,595 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3252 Cheltenham Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,200 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4409 McCampbell Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1814 Sylvan Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1738 Fairforest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2166 | $1,895 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4243 Vaughn Rd Unit 1043807P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,360 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1516 Charleton Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1895 | $1,650 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3110 Virginia Downs Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $800 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1839 Robison Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3770 Maclamar Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3248 Meadow Walk Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 620-char remark
-
2026-06-17$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,146 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,146 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,146
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,259
- − Management
- −$1,259
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $3,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$845
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- City population
- 175,913
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,196
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 34% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.63%
- Current HPI
- 156.4412
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+7.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $94,900 MAAR
- 2018-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2015-02-11 Listed $45,000 MAAR
- 2015-01-23 Sold (MLS) $25,250 MAAR
- 2014-07-31 Listed $45,000 MAAR
- 2004-03-30 Listed $88,900 MAAR
- 2003-07-28 Listed $83,900 MAAR
- 2001-05-07 Listed $84,000 MAAR
- 2000-10-16 Listed $88,500 MAAR
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,146 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…