183 Lakeshore Dr · Oswego, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Better than new and ready now! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom + bonus room, 2.5-bath townhome with 2-car attached garage is less than 5 years old and located in the highly desirable Seasons at Southbury. The open-concept main level features a modern kitchen overlooking the dining & living areas, complete with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances & large island with seating. Sliding doors lead to a private deck, offering a great spot to enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the evening. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bath & generous walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Walk-in closet
- Scenic walking paths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $315k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-593 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (33.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in IL, #1,366 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Southbury Elem School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #503 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 581 students, 0% FRL); Traughber Jr High School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 1,135 students, 0% FRL); Oswego High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,901 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 420 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 151d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.06%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,278
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -8.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 Shadow Ct | 0.14mi | 2/2.5 | 1,420 (0%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $229 | 92 |
| 513 Creek Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,552 (+9%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $197 | 80 |
| 291 Lakeshore Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 | 1,495 (+5%) | 16mo | $310,000 | $207 | 73 |
| 267 Lakeshore Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 | 1,340 (-6%) | 22mo | $287,500 | $215 | 67 |
| 205 Lakeshore Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.5 | 1,600 (+13%) | 13mo | $300,000 | $188 | 66 |
| 816 Shadowbrook Ct | 0.13mi | 2/3.0 | 1,543 (+9%) | 16mo | $319,000 | $207 | 64 |
| 204 Dorset Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,392 (-2%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $226 | 58 |
| 165 Lakeshore Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,600 (+13%) | 23mo | $310,000 | $194 | 58 |
| 213 Dorset Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.5 | 1,548 (+9%) | 15mo | $345,000 | $223 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-84,255
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-102,875
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $327,000 ($198/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +22.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60543
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 420
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,750 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$542 /mo · $6,507/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$440
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $-593
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-414 | -5% $-503 | +0% $-593 | +5% $-682 | +10% $-771 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-810 | -5% $-701 | +0% $-593 | +5% $-484 | +10% $-375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-434 | -0.5pp $-512 | base $-593 | +0.5pp $-674 | +1.0pp $-757 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Lakeshore Dr Unit 120 Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 10d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 157 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,751 | $1.76 | 184d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 137 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 134d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 137 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1559 | $2,900 | $1.86 | 51d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 182 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $3,501 | $2.00 | 151d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 119 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,900 | $1.86 | 184d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 254 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,651 | $1.70 | 184d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 501 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2010 | $3,488 | $1.73 | 0d | 10 | 0.69mi |
| 513 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $3,000 | $1.86 | 184d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 517 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 184d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 519 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $3,401 | $2.18 | 151d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 519 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 184d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 279 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $4,000 | $2.49 | 94d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 67 E Van Buren St Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 56d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 429 Prairieview Dr Unit b Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,750 | $1.72 | 159d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 715 Alberta Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,850 | $1.58 | 81d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 311 Dennis Ln Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $3,000 | $2.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 546 Lakeview Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,870 | $1.77 | 73d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 77 S Adams St Unit 621 Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $2,325 | $2.22 | 10d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 77 S Adams St Unit 625 Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,395 | $2.28 | 184d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 77 S Adams St Unit 529 Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $2,695 | $2.31 | 184d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 77 S Adams St Unit 629 Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $2,750 | $2.35 | 184d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 77 S Adams St Unit 342 Oswego, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,995 | $2.19 | 157d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 205 S Adams St Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,975 | $1.67 | 10d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 615 Starling Cir Oswego, IL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1605 | $2,476 | $1.54 | 0d | 12 | 1.41mi |
| 205 W Washington St Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1501 | $2,450 | $1.63 | 109d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Cats and dogs allowedAssociation amenities include a clubhouse, exercise room, health club, pool, park, and tennis courtsAssociation fees include insurance, clubhouse, exercise facilities, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached two-car garageGarage door openerAsphalt parking
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Two-story attached homeEntry level: 1
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingAsphalt roofBuilt within the last 1–5 years
- Exterior features
- Balcony
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorGarbage disposalOwned water purifierOwned water softener
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced-air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Finished daylight basement
- Laundry & utility
- In-unit laundryWasherDryer
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $315,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $315,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $315,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $315,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $315,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $315,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $315,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $315,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $315,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $315,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $315,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $315,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-10-23pricestatusdays on market $315,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2022-08-15soldstatus $287,215 Closed 1906-char remark
-
2022-03-05$287,215 1906-char remark
-
2022-03-05historical 1906-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,507 · $542/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,829 · $569/mo
- Expected delta
- +$322/yr (+$27/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$6,507
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,640
- − Management
- −$2,640
- − HOA
- −$5,280
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$12,446
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,987
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully maintained townhome is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is ready to move in and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting. ↑
- Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more tenants and increase rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 308
- NCES district ID
- 1730270
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,945
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6028
- State rank
- #179 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oswego
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oswego, IL
- County
- Kendall County · 138,283 people
- City population
- 43,047
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,047
- Household income
- $119,371
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Kendall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,283 people
- By 2030
- 144,935 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 156,944 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 165,424 · +19.6%
- By 2075
- 174,715 · +26.3%
- By 2100
- 168,523 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kendall
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.7 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+4.1 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.42%
- Current HPI
- 210.3944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+9.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-10-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-10-22 Listed $315,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-15 Sold (MLS) $287,215 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-05 Listed $287,215 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+38.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,507 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…