Multi-family
623 Fallowfield Ave · Charleroi, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Store front property with two upper level apartments. Situated on a highly visible main street on the bus line, the building offers two off-street parking spaces in the rear, and is adjacent to a large side public parking lot. Commercial unit is a "blank slate" and would be well-suited for a variety of purposes, whether office or retail. New Anderson windows throughout. Well built brick building with tons of potential.
Key facts
- New anderson windows
- Brick building
- 2,221 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.4% vs local median 14.8% in Charleroi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment F.
- Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $915 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 96.74%
- DSCR
- 5.30
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,075
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -13.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 5th St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | — | 8mo | $55,000 | — | 71 |
| 404 5th St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | — | 11mo | $18,500 | — | 69 |
| 206 Lookout Ave | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | — | 2mo | $35,000 | — | 60 |
| 503 Meadow Ave | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | — | 18mo | $48,000 | — | 58 |
| 15-16 3rd St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | — | 18mo | $96,000 | — | 53 |
| 209 Luella Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | — | 21mo | $27,600 | — | 49 |
| 429 Mckean Ave | 0.18mi | 5/6.0 (+1) | — | 15mo | $199,900 | — | 47 |
| 219 Meadow Ave | 0.41mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | — | 24mo | $75,000 | — | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.44×
- Total profit
- $62,110
- Equity at exit
- $10,109
- IRR
- 94.7%
- Equity multiple
- 11.27×
- Total profit
- $143,718
- Equity at exit
- $9,023
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15022
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $1,062
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,097 | -5% $1,079 | +0% $1,062 | +5% $1,045 | +10% $1,028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $915 | -5% $988 | +0% $1,062 | +5% $1,136 | +10% $1,210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,087 | -0.5pp $1,075 | base $1,062 | +0.5pp $1,049 | +1.0pp $1,036 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,866 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $933 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $933 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,866 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1136 Reservoir Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $650 | $0.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $50,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Store front property with two upper level apartments. Situated on a highly visible main street on the bus line, the building offers two off-street parking spaces in the rear, and is adjacent to a large side public parking lot. Commercial unit is a "blank slate" and would be well-suited for a variety of purposes, whether office or retail. New Anderson windows throughout. Well built brick building with tons of potential.
-
2026-04-09price $70,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Store front property with two upper level apartments. Situated on a highly visible main street on the bus line, the building offers two off-street parking spaces in the rear, and is adjacent to a large side public parking lot. Commercial unit is a "blank slate" and would be well-suited for a variety of purposes, whether office or retail. New Anderson windows throughout. Well built brick building with tons of potential.
-
2026-02-17$80,000 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Store front property with two upper level apartments. Situated on a highly visible main street on the bus line, the building offers two off-street parking spaces in the rear, and is adjacent to a large side public parking lot. Commercial unit is a "blank slate" and would be well-suited for a variety of purposes, whether office or retail. New Anderson windows throughout. Well built brick building with tons of potential.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$1,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,791
- − Management
- −$1,791
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $12,756
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires significant repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof and exterior walls are in poor condition, and the interior needs a paint job and updates. The kitchen and bathrooms also need modernization. With proper renovations, this property has the potential to become a move-in-ready investment.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Visible damage and potential leaks
- Major exterior walls — Weathered brick, peeling paint
- Major flooring — Worn and uneven
- Major interior walls/paint — Paint peeling and uneven
- Major bathrooms — Needs updating, with dated fixtures
- Major kitchen — Needs updating, with dated fixtures
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — Not visible, but likely outdated
Value-add opportunities
- Both roof replacement — Critical to prevent water damage and improve overall appearance
- Both exterior paint job — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both flooring replacement — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both interior paint job — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Both bathroom updates — Modernizes and improves functionality
- Both kitchen updates — Modernizes and improves functionality
- Both HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Visible damage and potential leaks | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior walls · Weathered brick, peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn and uneven | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · Paint peeling and uneven | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · Needs updating, with dated fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · Needs updating, with dated fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · Not visible, but likely outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both roof replacement — Critical to prevent water damage and improve overall appearance ↑
- Both exterior paint job — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both flooring replacement — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both interior paint job — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both bathroom updates — Modernizes and improves functionality ↑
- Both kitchen updates — Modernizes and improves functionality ↑
- Both HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleroi SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,410
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6450
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Charleroi
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #382
- US rank
- #3416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleroi, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,044
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Current HPI
- 174.218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-37.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $80,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…