3120 Maffett St · Muskegon Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
Key facts
- 6,316 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 42 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Traditional single-family residence; One-story (living area 798 sq ft); Built in 1925
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.15 acres; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 8.4% in Muskegon Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#574 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $70k implies a 382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.19%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,904
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2933 Baker St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+1%) | 1mo | $111,000 | $123 | 83 |
| 3301 7th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-1%) | 2mo | $82,000 | $93 | 72 |
| 3300 Jefferson St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 810 (-9%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $74 | 69 |
| 2833 Hoyt St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (-4%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $106 | 69 |
| 2618 Hoyt St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 878 (-1%) | 1mo | $74,900 | $85 | 67 |
| 3229 7th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 846 (-5%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 224 E Lincoln Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 770 (-13%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 356 Amsterdam Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 876 (-1%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $114 | 65 |
| 3044 Morton Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+11%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 142 Harrison Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-14%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 375 W Maplewood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (+11%) | 2mo | $105,894 | $108 | 52 |
| 3304 Waalkes St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 760 (-14%) | 0mo | $115,900 | $153 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $18,998
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $55,593
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49444
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $476
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232 E Lincoln Ave Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3040 Temple St Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2901 Temple St Unit 1 Muskegon Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3041 Lemuel St Muskegon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 889 Woodside Rd Unit 36 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,125 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3223 Bailey St Norton Shores, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,319 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-22price $69,900 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
-
2026-05-22price $69,900 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
-
2026-05-22price $69,900
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
-
2026-05-07$79,900 Active 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
-
2026-05-07$79,900 Active 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
-
2026-05-07$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in Muskegon Heights! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath traditional-style home is situated on a spacious corner lot and offers significant potential for equity growth. Spanning 888 finished square feet, the layout includes a large living and dining area, a kitchen with flexible gas or electric hookups, and a main-floor primary bedroom. With wood siding already in place, this home is a strong candidate for a value-add renovation or a long-term rental portfolio addition. Located within the Muskegon Heights School District and conveniently close to local transit routes.
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2019-08-31historical
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2019-08-30historical
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2019-08-30historical
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2019-07-04price $18,000
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2019-07-03$18,000
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2019-07-03$15,000 Active
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2019-07-03$18,000
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1996-02-19soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $712 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $894 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$182/yr (+$15/mo · 25.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Muskegon Heights
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #18269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon Heights, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,372
- Household income
- $53,054
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 930.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 209.2698
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+382.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $69,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-31 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-08-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-04 Price Changed $18,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-07-03 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-03 Listed $15,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-07-03 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 1996-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $712 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…