6438 Archdale St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!! Don't miss out on this fantastic home! This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath ranch features a full, full finished basement that offers plenty of potential space. The home boasts beautiful hardwood floors in the bedrooms, ceramic tile in the kitchen and living room. Step outside to a spacious backyard perfect for outdoor fun. With the opportunity to add additional bedroom in the full finished basement, this home has room to grow. Appliances in the house stay.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Ceramic tile
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acre (42 x 136)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,312/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $814 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $118k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.03%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,899
- List price
- $117,700
- Delta
- 73.30%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6374 Rutland St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+2%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $127 | 84 |
| 6884 Memorial Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 786 (+7%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 6025 Rosemont Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 713 (-3%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $77 | 66 |
| 6356 Rutland St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 842 (+15%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 6136 Brace St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (-4%) | 9mo | $89,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 5706 Greenview Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (-2%) | 10mo | $72,000 | $100 | 58 |
| 6339 Warwick St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 725 (-1%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 6434 Piedmont St W | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (-6%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 6346 Warwick St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 681 (-7%) | 12mo | $50,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 7375 Brace St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 711 (-3%) | 10mo | $18,500 | $26 | 48 |
| 7345 Penrod St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+9%) | 13mo | $66,100 | $83 | 47 |
| 5736 Brace St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 825 (+12%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $109 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,378
- Equity at exit
- $17,549
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,007
- Equity at exit
- $10,177
Cash invested: $32,956 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 369
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,312 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$617
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $342 | -5% $309 | +0% $276 | +5% $242 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $172 | -5% $224 | +0% $276 | +5% $327 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $335 | -0.5pp $306 | base $276 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,425
- Closing costs
- $3,531
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,540 | $2.31 | 4d | 10 | 0.52mi |
| 4900 Heather Dr Dearborn, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $1,980 | $2.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $117,700 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $117,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $117,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,700 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,700 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $117,700 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $128,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$128,900 Active 528-char remark
-
2026-05-19$128,900 Active 540-char remark
-
2026-05-18historical
-
2026-05-18historical
-
2026-02-27$135,000 Active
-
2026-02-27$135,000 Active
-
2026-01-05soldstatus $60,000
-
2025-12-31soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2025-12-31soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2025-12-19status Pending
-
2025-12-19status Pending
-
2025-08-27price $91,900
-
2025-08-27price $91,900
-
2025-06-20price $104,900
-
2025-06-20price $104,900
-
2025-06-04price $105,000
-
2025-06-03price $105,000
-
2025-05-01price $120,000
-
2025-05-01price $120,000
-
2025-04-08$125,000 Active
-
2025-04-08$125,000 Active
-
2004-04-07soldstatus $55,300
-
2004-01-23soldstatus $55,300
-
2003-08-24$59,700
-
2003-07-21historical
-
2003-06-18$64,900
-
2003-06-11historical
-
2003-04-02$69,900
-
2003-04-02historical
-
2002-11-11$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 29.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,136
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$3,424
- Taxable income
- $1,484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$356
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $117,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $117,700 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $128,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Listed $128,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-31 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-31 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $91,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $91,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-08 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-08 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,300 Public Records
- 2004-01-23 Sold (MLS) $55,300 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-24 Listed $59,700 REALCOMP
- 2003-07-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-06-18 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-02 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-11-11 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,136 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…