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415 Woodland Ave
A- Composite 82.68
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$67,500

415 Woodland Ave · Emporium, PA 15834
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · Other · 62 Days on market
Built 1920 0.41 ac lot $39/sqft · 25% below area Est $90k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2-story home featuring 3+ bedrooms and 2.5 baths on a . 41-acre lot close to schools. Large living room with a bay window and plenty of windows throughout let in the natural light. Abundant storage and (4) extra rooms for a home office, hobby room or for whatever your needs may be. Full walk-out basement, carport and large backyard. Plenty of space inside and out! Property is being sold in AS-IS condition. Some water lines need repaired/replaced. Unknown if heating system is operational.

Key facts

  • 0.41 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#481 in PA, #4,450 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cameron County SD (town): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #231 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $367 of equity ($467 loan paydown + $-100 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Cameron County population projected at -40% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,450 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.52%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,973
List price
$67,500
Delta
-24.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$10,689
Equity at exit
$19,103
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$34,812
Equity at exit
$22,569

Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15834

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,014 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$354
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,906/yr
Insurance
$28
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $755
Max offer price $67,500
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $224 +0% $205 +5% $186 +10% $166
Rent -10% $125 -5% $165 +0% $205 +5% $245 +10% $285
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $222 base $205 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,875
Closing costs
$2,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $67,500 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $67,500 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,500 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,500 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,500 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,500 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,500 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $67,500 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,500 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,500 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,500 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $67,500 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $76,500 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $76,500 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $76,500 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $76,500 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    listed $85,000 Active 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Spacious 2-story home featuring 3+ bedrooms and 2.5 baths on a . 41-acre lot close to schools. Large living room with a bay window and plenty of windows throughout let in the natural light. Abundant storage and (4) extra rooms for a home office, hobby room or for whatever your needs may be. Full walk-out basement, carport and large backyard. Plenty of space inside and out! Property is being sold in AS-IS condition. Some water lines need repaired/replaced. Unknown if heating system is operational.

  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $85,000 Active 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Spacious 2-story home featuring 3+ bedrooms and 2.5 baths on a . 41-acre lot close to schools. Large living room with a bay window and plenty of windows throughout let in the natural light. Abundant storage and (4) extra rooms for a home office, hobby room or for whatever your needs may be. Full walk-out basement, carport and large backyard. Plenty of space inside and out! Property is being sold in AS-IS condition. Some water lines need repaired/replaced. Unknown if heating system is operational.

  19. 2026-04-14
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Spacious 2-story home featuring 3+ bedrooms and 2.5 baths on a . 41-acre lot close to schools. Large living room with a bay window and plenty of windows throughout let in the natural light. Abundant storage and (4) extra rooms for a home office, hobby room or for whatever your needs may be. Full walk-out basement, carport and large backyard. Plenty of space inside and out! Property is being sold in AS-IS condition. Some water lines need repaired/replaced. Unknown if heating system is operational.

  20. 2021-02-12
    soldstatus $89,500
  21. 2020-08-05
    soldstatus $12,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,906 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,906 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,169
− Mortgage interest
−$3,781
− Property taxes
−$1,906
− Insurance
−$1,004
− Repairs & maintenance
−$974
− Management
−$974
− Depreciation
−$1,964
Taxable income
$1,568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$376
After-tax cash flow
$2,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cameron County SD
NCES district ID
4204830
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,115
Composite
40.49/100
National rank
#3714
State rank
#231 of 539 in PA

Livability — Emporium

Score
74/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#4450

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Emporium, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,086

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,072 people
By 2030
3,706 · -9.0%
By 2040
3,010 · -26.1%
By 2050
2,443 · -40.0%
By 2075
1,663 · -59.2%
By 2100
1,296 · -68.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.2% · R 74.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.15%
Current HPI
77.9153
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+580.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $85,000 ECBR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $85,000 NMPA
  • 2021-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
  • 2020-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,906 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…