CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
B- Composite 67.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

27056 Lawnwood St · Roseville, MI 48066
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 955 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1991 4,792 sqft lot Est $159k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Twp cans of elbow grease and a good attitude you are all set! 3 bedroom, updated kitchen and a 2 car garage.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1991

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.9% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
  • Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 270 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $115k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $114,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.36%
Cash-on-cash
10.97%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,485
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27056 Lawnwood St 0.00mi 3/1.0 955 (0%) 1mo $105,000 $110 100
27141 Maywood St 0.07mi 3/1.0 960 (+0%) 2mo $160,000 $167 94
19331 Meier St 0.34mi 3/1.0 960 (+0%) 0mo $154,000 $160 83
27518 Lasslett St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,032 (+8%) 2mo $163,000 $158 73
20119 Meier Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 990 (+4%) 2mo $225,000 $227 66
27520 Bohnhoff St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,064 (+11%) 1mo $242,000 $227 65
28021 Rockwood St 0.73mi 3/1.0 966 (+1%) 2mo $220,000 $228 62
27540 KAUFMAN St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+14%) 1mo $160,000 $147 61
27540 Kaufman St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+14%) 1mo $160,000 $147 61
18305 Marquette St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,026 (+7%) 2mo $172,000 $168 58
28110 Garfield St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,070 (+12%) 1mo $245,000 $229 50
28441 Jahns Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+14%) 2mo $145,000 $133 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-3,513
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,952
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48066

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,436 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,277/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,063
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $327 +0% $294 +5% $262 +10% $229
Rent -10% $181 -5% $237 +0% $294 +5% $351 +10% $408
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $323 base $294 +0.5pp $264 +1.0pp $234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27067 Lawnwood St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 45d 1 0.00mi
27547 O Neil Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 5d 1 0.28mi
18635 Meier St Unit : Back Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 25d 1 0.37mi
26251 Pinehurst St Unit 251d Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 0.82mi
26221 Pinehurst St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 0d 1 0.83mi
17392 Tennyson St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,649 $1.83 3d 1 0.92mi
17405 Ivanhoe St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,600 $1.65 45d 1 0.93mi
16944 E 11 Mile Rd Unit C2 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 25d 1 1.11mi
16840 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 109 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 45d 1 1.18mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 103 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 1.18mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 104 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 1 1.18mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 25d 3 1.18mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 23d 3 1.18mi
28744 Maple St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,295 $1.23 45d 1 1.18mi
28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,500 $2.16 23d 1 1.20mi
17639 Oakdale St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 812 $1,200 $1.48 45d 1 1.27mi
26324 Harper Unit 4 St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 25d 1 1.45mi
26324 Harper Ave Unit 6 St Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $114,900 108-char remark
    Show marketing remark (108 chars)

    Twp cans of elbow grease and a good attitude you are all set! 3 bedroom, updated kitchen and a 2 car garage.

  2. 2026-05-21
    historical 108-char remark
    Show marketing remark (108 chars)

    Twp cans of elbow grease and a good attitude you are all set! 3 bedroom, updated kitchen and a 2 car garage.

  3. 2026-05-21
    listed $114,900
    Show marketing remark (108 chars)

    Twp cans of elbow grease and a good attitude you are all set! 3 bedroom, updated kitchen and a 2 car garage.

  4. 2026-05-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (108 chars)

    Twp cans of elbow grease and a good attitude you are all set! 3 bedroom, updated kitchen and a 2 car garage.

  5. 1998-11-18
    soldstatus $73,000
  6. 1998-11-11
    soldstatus $73,000 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    7yr old narrow front ranch, has 2yr old 2 cargarage, sharp open kitchen, freshly painted, Some newer carpeting, new furnace, imm. occupancy

  7. 1998-09-23
    historical 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    7yr old narrow front ranch, has 2yr old 2 cargarage, sharp open kitchen, freshly painted, Some newer carpeting, new furnace, imm. occupancy

  8. 1998-07-29
    listed $76,900 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    7yr old narrow front ranch, has 2yr old 2 cargarage, sharp open kitchen, freshly painted, Some newer carpeting, new furnace, imm. occupancy

  9. 1992-05-22
    soldstatus $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,229
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$2,277
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,378
− Management
−$1,378
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$442
After-tax cash flow
$3,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630210
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,590
Composite
14.98/100
National rank
#9363
State rank
#483 of 540 in MI

Livability — Roseville

Score
72/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#6400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
47,123
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,123
Household income
$62,182
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.95%
Current HPI
217.4171
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 1998-11-11 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-09-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-07-29 Listed $76,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,277 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…