403 Henderson St · Williamston, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick Home Sold As IS.
Key facts
- Updated brick ranch
- Easy access to park
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking; On-site paved parking; Concrete surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding over frame construction; Metal roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Barn(s); Interior lot; Wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump
- Interior features: Window coverings; Insulated windows; Unfurnished; Vented exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.6% in Williamston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#584 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: E J Hayes Elementary (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #945 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 273 students, 99% FRL); Riverside Middle (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 364 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($895 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $130k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.17%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,338
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 Halifax St | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,589 (+8%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $31 | 73 |
| 405 E Simmons Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (-10%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $91 | 70 |
| 303 Ray St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-8%) | 6mo | $48,200 | $36 | 64 |
| 306 W Simmons Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,405 (-4%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 402 Warren St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (+2%) | 12mo | $138,050 | $93 | 56 |
| 208 White St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,391 (-5%) | 0mo | $55,000 | $40 | 55 |
| 407 W Woodlawn Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+9%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $93 | 53 |
| 904 N Smithwick St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (-14%) | 7mo | $134,900 | $107 | 49 |
| 216 N Elm St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-14%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $67 | 39 |
| 117 Reddick St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (-10%) | 14mo | $123,000 | $93 | 38 |
| 113 Reddick St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,578 (+8%) | 15mo | $30,001 | $19 | 35 |
| 503 S Haughton St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,249 (-15%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $109 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $36,854
- Equity at exit
- $74,371
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $105,699
- Equity at exit
- $129,177
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27892
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $169 | -5% $132 | +0% $96 | +5% $59 | +10% $22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3 | -5% $49 | +0% $96 | +5% $142 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $129 | base $96 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $129,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Active
-
2026-03-23price $134,500
-
2026-03-09price $139,500
-
2026-02-24price $144,500
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2025-12-31status Active
-
2025-12-11historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-19status Pending
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-10-18$149,500 Active
-
2022-09-27soldstatus $43,751 Closed 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-09-01status Pending 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-08-29status Active 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-08-22status Pending 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-08-17status Active 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-08-11status Pending 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2022-08-10$40,000 Active 22-char remark
Show marketing remark (22 chars)
Brick Home Sold As IS.
-
2007-05-25soldstatus $52,530 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
SELLING AS IS, STORAGE BUILDING, THERMAL WINDOWS
-
2007-05-25soldstatus $52,530
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
SELLING AS IS, STORAGE BUILDING, THERMAL WINDOWS
-
2007-02-16$54,900 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
SELLING AS IS, STORAGE BUILDING, THERMAL WINDOWS
-
2007-02-15$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$1,227
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable loss
- −$1,016
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$244
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702880
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,403
- Composite
- 23.94/100
- National rank
- #7781
- State rank
- #150 of 178 in NC
Livability — Williamston
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #584
- US rank
- #21504
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamston, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,387
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,018 people
- By 2030
- 19,693 · -6.3%
- By 2040
- 16,793 · -20.1%
- By 2050
- 14,171 · -32.6%
- By 2075
- 9,804 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 6,894 · -67.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 38% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Current HPI
- 178.4817
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+145.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $134,500 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $139,500 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $144,500 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-31 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-11 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-19 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $149,500 Hive MLS
- 2022-09-27 Sold (MLS) $43,751 Hive MLS
- 2022-09-01 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-29 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-22 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-17 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-11 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-08-10 Listed $40,000 Hive MLS
- 2007-05-25 Sold (MLS) $52,530 Hive MLS
- 2007-05-25 Sold (MLS) $52,530 Hive MLS
- 2007-02-16 Listed $54,900 Hive MLS
- 2007-02-15 Listed $54,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,227 · +46.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…