511 W Jefferson Ave · Sterling, KS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1939
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Gravel road access; Lot size approximately 0.35 acres
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; 880 sq ft above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air
- Interior features: Electric range; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#24 in KS, #2,382 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Sterling (rural): math 55% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #8 of 169 in KS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sterling Grade School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #70 of 684 statewide, top 12%, 260 students, 46% FRL); Sterling Junior High/Senior High (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #12 of 327 statewide, top 5%, 214 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Rice County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rice County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $65k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.34%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $3,334
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $20,795
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67579
- Home prices YoY
- -18.8%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $844 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $240 | +0% $218 | +5% $195 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $151 | -5% $184 | +0% $218 | +5% $251 | +10% $284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $234 | base $218 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-12status $65,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$810
- − Management
- −$810
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sterling
- NCES district ID
- 2012030
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,454
- Composite
- 44.33/100
- National rank
- #2826
- State rank
- #8 of 169 in KS
Livability — Sterling
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #2382
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterling, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,971
Population outlook (Rice County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,798 people
- By 2030
- 9,694 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 9,507 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 9,457 · -3.5%
- By 2075
- 9,487 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 9,144 · -6.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rice
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 20.8% · R 77.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.2pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+40.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.28%
- Current HPI
- 220.9642
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+766.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $65,000 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2004-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
- 1998-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…