919 Quail St SE · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
$274,932
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright, practical, and already handled where it counts--this home is easy to step into and easy to keep. Sun pours through the wide front window into the living/dining space, and the kitchen--stone counters, stainless appliances, pantry, and a breakfast bar--keeps everyday life simple. The enclosed porch off the kitchen lives like a true third space for a desk, hobby zone, or quiet room overlooking the wood-fenced backyard for pets, gardening, and weekend dinners. Concrete/stucco construction, tile flooring, all-new windows (a costly upgrade most renovations skip), 2024 shingle roof, newer A/C, 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with a smart bath layout, plus a 1-car garage with in-garage laundry. If yo
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Stone countertops
- Large picture window
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Pets allowed
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Fenced yard (wood); Few trees on lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Jack and Jill bathroom; Pantry; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-355 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (22.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (32.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Columbia Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 506 students, 68% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 43% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1123 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $275k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.54%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $128,340
- Equity at exit
- $247,681
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.17×
- Total profit
- $398,341
- Equity at exit
- $534,132
Cash invested: $76,981 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32909
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 1123
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $-355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-200 | -5% $-278 | +0% $-355 | +5% $-433 | +10% $-511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-502 | -5% $-429 | +0% $-355 | +5% $-282 | +10% $-209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-217 | -0.5pp $-286 | base $-355 | +0.5pp $-427 | +1.0pp $-499 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,733
- Closing costs
- $8,248
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Starland St SE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1490 Van Buren Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1430 Valerius St SE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1072 Genesee Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,855 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1205 Jaslo St SE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $1,888 | $1.90 | 16d | 8 | 1.25mi |
| 931 Commerce Rd SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1630 Agnes Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,749 | $1.89 | 20d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $274,932 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,932 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,932 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,932 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,932 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $274,932 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $274,932 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,932 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,932 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $274,932 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,932 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,932 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,932 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,932 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,932 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-04-13status Active
-
2026-04-11historical
-
2026-03-30price $274,932
-
2025-10-13$284,932 Active
-
2024-12-20soldstatus $160,000
-
1996-03-23soldstatus $56,500
-
1990-08-01soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,221 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,221 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,400
- − Property taxes
- −$3,221
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,785
- − Management
- −$1,785
- − Depreciation
- −$7,998
- Taxable loss
- −$9,247
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,219
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,804
- Household income
- $79,977
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 697.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.81%
- Current HPI
- 330.8595
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+4482.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2026-04-11 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $274,932 SCMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $284,932 SCMLS
- 2024-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,221 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…