🏷️ Likely Rental
579 6th Ave · Troy, NY
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor deal! 4-bed, 2-bath rehab--full renovation needed. Strong value-add opportunity with solid upside. Located on a quiet street, minutes to highway access and close to bus lines for easy tenant appeal. Perfect for fix & flip or BRRRR strategy. Bring your contractor--priced to move! CASH BUYERS ONLY, ASSIGNMENT OF CONTRACT.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Bus lines
- Highway access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Turnpike Elementary School (534 students, 61% FRL); Knickerbacker Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #601 of 729 statewide, top 82%, 471 students, 75% FRL); Lansingburgh Senior High School (math 92%, 638 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $115k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.58%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $271,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 115th St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,655 (-6%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $136 | 70 |
| 562 3rd Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+9%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 714 3rd Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,829 (+4%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $46 | 64 |
| 25 111th St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,596 (-10%) | 2mo | $230,500 | $144 | 64 |
| 743 6th Ave | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 1,627 (-8%) | 4mo | $174,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 726 3rd Ave | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (-8%) | 6mo | $88,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 415 6th Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,620 (-8%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $160 | 54 |
| 426 8th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+6%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 41 109th St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 | 1,512 (-14%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $172 | 45 |
| 48 Lori Jean Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (+13%) | 9mo | $372,000 | $186 | 37 |
| 10 Red Rock Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,516 (-14%) | 12mo | $351,000 | $232 | 31 |
| 15 Red Rock Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,500 (-15%) | 12mo | $372,500 | $248 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $14,973
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $56,707
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$328 /mo · $3,937/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $591 | -5% $558 | +0% $525 | +5% $493 | +10% $460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $375 | -5% $450 | +0% $525 | +5% $601 | +10% $676 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $583 | -0.5pp $555 | base $525 | +0.5pp $496 | +1.0pp $465 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,711 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 53 Park Ave Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1875 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 290 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 157 6th Ave Unit 2 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 131 6th Ave Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,325 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 192 Saratoga St Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1157 | $2,600 | $2.25 | 15d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| 12 White St Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $2,895 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $115,000
-
2026-04-14$120,000 Active
-
1993-09-02soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,937 · $328/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,937 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,937
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,828
- − Management
- −$1,828
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $4,898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+64.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $115,000 Global MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $120,000 Global MLS
- 1993-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,937 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…