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3896 Picciola Rd #554 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

3896 Picciola Rd #554 · Fruitland Park, FL 34731
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 890 sqft · SingleFamily · 55 Days on market
Built 1966 Fair condition 313 sqft lot Est $150k · 27% under $181/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If low maintenance living with a side of lake life sounds appealing, this one is worth a look. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath mobile home is located in a 55+ community that keeps things simple while still offering plenty to enjoy. The home comes fully furnished, making it an easy transition whether you are moving full time or just looking for a seasonal escape. Inside, you will find a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, dining space, and a screened porch that is perfect for morning coffee or winding down in the evening. The home has tie downs, it was painted 2 years ago, and the roof was sealed 5 years ago (2021). The monthly HOA fee of $181 covers water, trash, and access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, dog park, and library. For those who enjoy being on the water, residents have direct access to Lake Griffin, and an optional covered boat slip with lift is available for just $45/month. There is also potential for a golf cart to be included with an acceptable offer, adding even more convenience for getting around the community. Easy living, water access, and everything you need already in place. All that is missing is you.

Key facts

  • Covered boat slip
  • Screened porch
  • Golf cart potential

Tags

FULLY FURNISHEDSCREENED PORCHDIRECT ACCESS TO LAKE GRIFFINCOVERED BOAT SLIPGOLF CART POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total annual fees $2,172; Furnished
  • HOA & community: Griffwood Co-Op Inc. HOA required; HOA fee $181 monthly (includes pool, recreational facilities, trash, water); Community clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court, dog park; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs, size limit applies; max pet weight 40 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Well water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Mobile home (double wide); One story; Faces southeast
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Stem wall foundation; Built as a double wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Lake access and marina; Assigned boat slip; Boat lift (including covered lift)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Solid surface counters; Window treatments; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $109,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$149,520) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Fruitland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $109k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,730 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.42%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,520
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3896 Picciola Rd #523 0.00mi 2/1.5 936 (+5%) 17mo $60,000 $64 77
3896 Picciola Rd #111 0.25mi 2/1.5 780 (-12%) 23mo $88,000 $113 48
309 Areca St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (+5%) 8mo $157,000 $168 43
408 E Palm St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+13%) 24mo $221,000 $219 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-3,883
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$14,731
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34731

Home prices YoY
-10.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$181
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1414 N Lake View Ave Leesburg, FL 4.0 1.0–3.0 1700 $1,440 $0.85 2d 3 0.37mi
2117 Citrus Blvd Unit 6 Leesburg, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 2d 1 0.71mi
2511 Sennett Dr Leesburg, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0 1215 $1,508 $1.24 23d 1 0.83mi
2400 Silver Pointe Cir Leesburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,050 $1.25 23d 1 0.90mi
1 Herald Dr Leesburg, FL 2.0 1.0–1.5 970 $1,524 $1.57 4d 4 1.43mi
1223 Pamela St Leesburg, FL 2.0 1.0 894 $1,399 $1.56 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$181 · $2,172/yr
Likely covers
watertrashpool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    listed $109,000 Active 1166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1166 chars)

    If low maintenance living with a side of lake life sounds appealing, this one is worth a look. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath mobile home is located in a 55+ community that keeps things simple while still offering plenty to enjoy. The home comes fully furnished, making it an easy transition whether you are moving full time or just looking for a seasonal escape. Inside, you will find a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, dining space, and a screened porch that is perfect for morning coffee or winding down in the evening. The home has tie downs, it was painted 2 years ago, and the roof was sealed 5 years ago (2021). The monthly HOA fee of $181 covers water, trash, and access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, dog park, and library. For those who enjoy being on the water, residents have direct access to Lake Griffin, and an optional covered boat slip with lift is available for just $45/month. There is also potential for a golf cart to be included with an acceptable offer, adding even more convenience for getting around the community. Easy living, water access, and everything you need already in place. All that is missing is you.

  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $109,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1166 chars)

    If low maintenance living with a side of lake life sounds appealing, this one is worth a look. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath mobile home is located in a 55+ community that keeps things simple while still offering plenty to enjoy. The home comes fully furnished, making it an easy transition whether you are moving full time or just looking for a seasonal escape. Inside, you will find a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, dining space, and a screened porch that is perfect for morning coffee or winding down in the evening. The home has tie downs, it was painted 2 years ago, and the roof was sealed 5 years ago (2021). The monthly HOA fee of $181 covers water, trash, and access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, dog park, and library. For those who enjoy being on the water, residents have direct access to Lake Griffin, and an optional covered boat slip with lift is available for just $45/month. There is also potential for a golf cart to be included with an acceptable offer, adding even more convenience for getting around the community. Easy living, water access, and everything you need already in place. All that is missing is you.

  16. 2020-06-01
    soldstatus $44,000 Sold 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    This double wide mobile is clean and spacious. It has large bedrooms, and has just enough furniture to get you started. Located in the middle of the community, you are just a few steps to the heated pool, and to all the community activities. If you like to fish, or see a beautiful sunrise, the lake is nearby as well. Griffwood is a 55+ community located on the Harris Chain of Lakes. Not many people know about this hidden gem. Come out and look at the great value of this home in this great community!

  17. 2020-03-03
    status Pending 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    This double wide mobile is clean and spacious. It has large bedrooms, and has just enough furniture to get you started. Located in the middle of the community, you are just a few steps to the heated pool, and to all the community activities. If you like to fish, or see a beautiful sunrise, the lake is nearby as well. Griffwood is a 55+ community located on the Harris Chain of Lakes. Not many people know about this hidden gem. Come out and look at the great value of this home in this great community!

  18. 2020-01-28
    status Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    This double wide mobile is clean and spacious. It has large bedrooms, and has just enough furniture to get you started. Located in the middle of the community, you are just a few steps to the heated pool, and to all the community activities. If you like to fish, or see a beautiful sunrise, the lake is nearby as well. Griffwood is a 55+ community located on the Harris Chain of Lakes. Not many people know about this hidden gem. Come out and look at the great value of this home in this great community!

  19. 2020-01-25
    status Pending 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    This double wide mobile is clean and spacious. It has large bedrooms, and has just enough furniture to get you started. Located in the middle of the community, you are just a few steps to the heated pool, and to all the community activities. If you like to fish, or see a beautiful sunrise, the lake is nearby as well. Griffwood is a 55+ community located on the Harris Chain of Lakes. Not many people know about this hidden gem. Come out and look at the great value of this home in this great community!

  20. 2020-01-16
    listed $47,000 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    This double wide mobile is clean and spacious. It has large bedrooms, and has just enough furniture to get you started. Located in the middle of the community, you are just a few steps to the heated pool, and to all the community activities. If you like to fish, or see a beautiful sunrise, the lake is nearby as well. Griffwood is a 55+ community located on the Harris Chain of Lakes. Not many people know about this hidden gem. Come out and look at the great value of this home in this great community!

  21. 2014-11-28
    soldstatus $28,000 Sold
  22. 2014-11-15
    status Pending
  23. 2014-08-26
    listed $30,500 Active
  24. 2005-04-20
    listed $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,446
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− HOA
−$2,172
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,026
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$246
After-tax cash flow
$2,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. Exterior siding and paint, flooring, and landscaping are the highest-impact areas for investment.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear on siding.
  • Major exterior paint — Paint peeling and general lack of maintenance.
  • Major flooring — Worn-out carpet in living areas and bedrooms.
  • Minor interior walls/paint — Painted 2 years ago, but some areas show signs of wear.
  • Minor kitchen — Basic kitchen setup with some wear.
  • Minor bathrooms — Basic bathroom setup with some wear.
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown lawn and lack of landscaping maintenance.
  • Minor HVAC — No visible issues with HVAC or other systems.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding and paint — Improves curb appeal and value.
  • Both flooring — Replaces worn-out carpet and improves living space.
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear on siding. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Paint peeling and general lack of maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn-out carpet in living areas and bedrooms. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · Painted 2 years ago, but some areas show signs of wear. Minor $500–3,000
kitchen · Basic kitchen setup with some wear. Minor $500–3,000
bathrooms · Basic bathroom setup with some wear. Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · Overgrown lawn and lack of landscaping maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC · No visible issues with HVAC or other systems. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $62,000–212,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding and paint — Improves curb appeal and value.
  • Both flooring — Replaces worn-out carpet and improves living space.
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fruitland Park

Score
70/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#8098

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
12,196
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,196
Household income
$66,300
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
269.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.91%
Current HPI
318.8206
Rent YoY
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $109,000 RACC
  • 2020-06-01 Sold (MLS) $44,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-28 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-25 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-16 Listed $47,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-28 Sold (MLS) $28,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-26 Listed $30,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-20 Listed $32,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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